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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Cam Henderson Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Howard Bison vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Howard Bison or Marshall Thundering Herd: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Thundering Herd▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 30–70Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MRSH 70%
Record 0-1
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Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 6:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Howard Bison at Marshall Thundering Herd win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Howard Bison vs Marshall Thundering Herd live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Howard Bison vs Marshall Thundering Herd team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatHOWMRSH
ScoreHOW–MRSH–
Average win probabilityHOW–MRSH–
Longest scoring runHOW–MRSH–
Time leadingHOW–MRSH–

Howard Bison vs Marshall Thundering Herd odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:01 AM ET
Bison30%
Win chance
Thundering Herd70%
SpreadMRSH −8.5
Total135.5
Moneyline+235away / −235homeaway / home
Line movementMRSH win chance, 32 stored lines
+7 pts for MRSH since Oct 29
76%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MRSH 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MRSH 69%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MRSH 69%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: MRSH 67%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: MRSH 69%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: MRSH 70%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: MRSH 70%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredMRSH winMove
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET70%0
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET70%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET70%0
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET70%0
Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET70%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET70%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET70%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET70%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET70%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET70%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET70%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET70%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET70%+1
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET69%+2
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET67%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET67%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET67%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET67%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET67%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET67%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET67%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET69%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET69%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET69%+6
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
MRSH 1631 · HOW 1583
Home spread
−8.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BisonThundering Herd
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Thundering Herd–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Howard Bison vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Thundering Herd a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 135.5. Ratings: Thundering Herd 1631 (54th of 356), Bison 1583 (90th). The Thundering Herd are 1-0; the Bison are 0-1. The Thundering Herd have won 5 of their last 5; the Bison 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Howard Bison

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Missouri TigersL 88–91––matchup
at Ohio State BuckeyesL 54–75––matchup
vs Norfolk State SpartansW 53–46––matchup
vs Coppin State EaglesW 65–50––matchup
vs South Carolina State Lady BulldogsW 75–43––matchup

Marshall Thundering Herd

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Massachusetts MinutewomenW 74–70––matchup
vs Illinois State RedbirdsW 66–41––matchup
at Arkansas State Red WolvesW 69–62––matchup
vs Army Black KnightsW 82–65––matchup
at Youngstown State PenguinsW 72–46––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Howard Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bison0-1 5th · L1
  • Bison rating1583 90th of 356, 1 games
  • Thundering Herd1-0 5th · W1
  • Thundering Herd rating1631 54th of 356, 1 games

Howard Bison 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HOWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HOWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HOWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $HOWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Howard Bison bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bison roster, schedule and more

Marshall Thundering Herd 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MRSHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MRSHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MRSHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MRSHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Thundering Herd roster, schedule and more

Takes on Howard Bison at Marshall Thundering Herd

Sign in to post a take on $HOWWBBMRSHWBB261110: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Marshall 70% to win. Projected score Marshall 72, Howard 63; spread Marshall −8.5, total 135.5. Howard Bison at Marshall Thundering Herd, Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM ET.