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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Mizzou Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Howard Bison vs Missouri Tigers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Howard Bison or Missouri Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 51–49Market –

Final · OTPregame: MIZ 49%Baseline: MIZ 28.8% (−20.1)Big swing: 60.7 ptsClutch window: 12:29
Record 0-1
88+691+9
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team1234OTT
HOW22163113688
MIZ15181930991
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Howard Bison at Missouri Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: OTFetched at
Win probability for MIZ: 30 points, 49% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0045:00MIZ 100%HOW 0%
Win probability for MIZ: 30 points, 49% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00MIZ 100%HOW 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to MIZ+59.4 points for MIZ over the last 5:00
Big swing60.7 ptstoward MIZ at 39:45 of game time
Clutch window12:29within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineMIZ 28.8%game average, −20.1 points from the pregame 48.9%

Howard Bison vs Missouri Tigers live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatHOWMIZ
Field goalsHOW33/74MIZ29/78
3-pointersHOW7/21MIZ6/20
Free throwsHOW15/24MIZ27/42
ReboundsHOW51MIZ51
AssistsHOW15MIZ8
TurnoversHOW18MIZ18
StealsHOW9MIZ10
BlocksHOW7MIZ2
Points in the paintHOW34MIZ40
Fast-break pointsHOW9MIZ23
FoulsHOW27MIZ22
Largest leadHOW19MIZ3

Howard Bison vs Missouri Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatHOWMIZ
ScoreHOW88MIZ91
Average win probabilityHOW71%MIZ29%
Longest scoring runHOW+2MIZ+14
Time leadingHOW5:09MIZ4:06

Howard Bison vs Missouri Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET
Bison51%
Win chance
Tigers49%
SpreadMIZ −2.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline−105away / +105homeaway / home
Line movementMIZ win chance, 24 stored lines
−14 pts for MIZ between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%39%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MIZ 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MIZ 45%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MIZ 45%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MIZ 45%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: MIZ 49%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: MIZ 49%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredMIZ winMove
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET49%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET49%+4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET45%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET45%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET45%−18
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
MIZ 1514 · HOW 1590
Home spread
−2.5
Stored
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Howard Bison 88, Missouri Tigers 91. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BisonTigers
Neutrals only–
BisonTigers
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Howard Bison vs Missouri Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bison the favorite, with a 51% chance to win; its spread is Tigers −2.5. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Tigers 1521 (147th of 356), Bison 1583 (90th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Bison are 0-1. The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5; the Bison 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Howard Bison

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Missouri TigersL 88–91––matchup
at Ohio State BuckeyesL 54–75––matchup
vs Norfolk State SpartansW 53–46––matchup
vs Coppin State EaglesW 65–50––matchup
vs South Carolina State Lady BulldogsW 75–43––matchup

Missouri Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Howard BisonW 91–88––matchup
at BYU CougarsL 75–93––matchup
vs Seton Hall PiratesW 67–57––matchup
at Alabama Crimson TideL 48–65––matchup
vs Oklahoma SoonersL 78–84––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Howard Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bison0-1 5th · L1
  • Bison rating1583 90th of 356, 1 games
  • Tigers1-0 10th · W1
  • Tigers rating1521 147th of 356, 1 games

Howard Bison 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HOWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HOWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HOWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $HOWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Howard Bison bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bison roster, schedule and more

Missouri Tigers 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MIZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MIZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MIZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MIZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Howard Bison at Missouri Tigers

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