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Colorado State Rams vs Denver Pioneers prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Colorado State Rams or Denver Pioneers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 79–21Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: DEN 21%
Record 1-0
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Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 8:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Colorado State Rams at Denver Pioneers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Colorado State Rams vs Denver Pioneers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Colorado State Rams vs Denver Pioneers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatCSUDEN
ScoreCSU–DEN–
Average win probabilityCSU–DEN–
Longest scoring runCSU–DEN–
Time leadingCSU–DEN–

Colorado State Rams vs Denver Pioneers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:01 AM ET
Rams79%
Win chance
Pioneers21%
SpreadCSU −6.5
Total130.5
Moneyline−378away / +378homeaway / home
Line movementDEN win chance, 53 stored lines
−42 pts for DEN since Oct 29
69%9%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: DEN 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: DEN 15%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: DEN 15%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: DEN 15%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: DEN 23%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: DEN 21%Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: DEN 21%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: DEN 21%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: DEN 21%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredDEN winMove
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET21%0
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET21%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET21%0
Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET21%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET21%0
Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET21%0
Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET21%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET21%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET21%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET21%0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET21%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET21%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET21%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET21%−2
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET23%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET23%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET23%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET23%+8
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET15%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET15%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET15%−48
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
DEN 1388 · CSU 1644
Home spread
+6.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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RamsPioneers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Pioneers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Colorado State Rams vs Denver Pioneers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 6.5-point favorite, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Pioneers 1388 (292nd of 356), Rams 1644 (42nd). The Pioneers are 0-1; the Rams are 1-0. The Pioneers have won 2 of their last 5; the Rams 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Pioneers won 0, the Rams 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Colorado State Rams

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Michigan State SpartansL 62–65––matchup
vs Air Force FalconsW 56–42––matchup
at UNLV Lady RebelsW 66–59––matchup
vs Grand Canyon LopesW 61–59––matchup
at San José State SpartansW 67–44––matchup

Denver Pioneers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Air Force FalconsL 45–66––matchup
at South Dakota CoyotesL 50–61––matchup
at Omaha MavericksW 71–50––matchup
vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 55–71––matchup
at Kansas City RoosW 79–63––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Denver Pioneers at Colorado State Rams54–85––matchup

Injuries

Colorado State Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Denver Pioneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Rams1-0 2nd · W1
  • Rams rating1644 42nd of 356, 0 games
  • Pioneers0-1 9th · L1
  • Pioneers rating1388 292nd of 356, 1 games

Colorado State Rams 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado State Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rams roster, schedule and more

Denver Pioneers 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DENWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DENWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DENWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DENWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Denver Pioneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Pioneers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Colorado State Rams at Denver Pioneers

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Model: Colorado State 79% to win. Projected score Colorado State 69, Denver 62; spread Colorado State −6.5, total 130.5. Colorado State Rams at Denver Pioneers, Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET.