Dartmouth Big Green leads Boston University 27-20 with 5:27 left in the 2nd period, a 7-point margin. The model has Big Green at 52% and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Leede Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Boston University Terriers vs Dartmouth Big Green: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBoston University 49, Dartmouth 56 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDartmouth 52%
- Pregame Projected scoreDartmouth 67, Boston University 64
- Model spreadDartmouth −3 total 130.5
- Margin7 projected 3.1
- Total105 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Boston University Terriers or Dartmouth Big Green: the bandwagon
Axle 48–52Market –
FinalPregame: DART 52%Baseline: DART 57.5% (+5.7)Big swing: 49.7 ptsClutch window: 5:40
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BU | 13 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 49 |
| DART | 15 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 56 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Boston University Terriers at Dartmouth Big Green win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to DART+31.0 points for DART over the last 5:00
Big swing49.7 ptstoward BU at 39:30 of game time
Clutch window5:40within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineDART 57.5%game average, +5.7 points from the pregame 51.8%
Boston University Terriers vs Dartmouth Big Green live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BU20/54 | DART22/54 |
| 3-pointers | BU6/25 | DART7/23 |
| Free throws | BU3/4 | DART5/7 |
| Rebounds | BU33 | DART22 |
| Assists | BU12 | DART14 |
| Turnovers | BU22 | DART14 |
| Steals | BU5 | DART9 |
| Blocks | BU1 | DART2 |
| Points in the paint | BU26 | DART20 |
| Fast-break points | BU3 | DART9 |
| Fouls | BU10 | DART10 |
| Largest lead | BU7 | DART13 |
Boston University Terriers vs Dartmouth Big Green team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BU49 | DART56 |
| Average win probability | BU43% | DART57% |
| Longest scoring run | BU+4 | DART+2 |
| Time leading | BU0:37 | DART9:31 |
Boston University Terriers vs Dartmouth Big Green odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET
Terriers48%
Win chanceBig Green52%
SpreadDART −3closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+107away / −107homeaway / home
Line movementDART win chance, 13 stored lines
−11 pts for DART between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%43%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | DART win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | +3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 49% | −14 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- DART 1361 · BU 1421
- Home spread
- −3
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Boston University Terriers 49, Dartmouth Big Green 56. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
TerriersBig Green
Neutrals only–
TerriersBig Green
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Big Green–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Boston University Terriers vs Dartmouth Big Green prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Big Green a 3-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Big Green 1373 (304th of 356), Terriers 1408 (266th). The Big Green are 1-0; the Terriers are 0-1. The Big Green have won 1 of their last 5; the Terriers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Big Green won 1, the Terriers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Boston University Terriers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Dartmouth Big Green | L 49–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs American University Eagles | W 69–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Holy Cross Crusaders | L 58–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs American University Eagles | W 79–76 | – | – | matchup |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boston University Terriers | W 56–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cornell Big Red | L 53–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | L 66–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Princeton Tigers | L 47–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbia Lions | L 42–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartmouth Big Green at Boston University Terriers | 52–50 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Boston University Terriers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Dartmouth Big Green: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Terriers0-1 6th · L1
- Terriers rating1408 266th of 356, 1 games
- Big Green1-0 2nd · W1
- Big Green rating1373 304th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BUWBB
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No stances yet today on $BUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston University Terriers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DARTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DARTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DARTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $DARTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dartmouth Big Green bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Boston University Terriers at Dartmouth Big Green
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Final: Boston University 49, Dartmouth 56. Bandwagon's model had the Dartmouth at 52% and projected Dartmouth 67, Boston University 64; spread Dartmouth −3, total 130.5.