Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Penguins at Predators: Bandwagon's model makes the Predators a 55% favorite (Predators −0.5).
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Predators a 55% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Predators win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 55%.
The largest gap is 3 points: Polymarket has the Predators at 58%, Axle at 55%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
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Why Axle has the Predators
All NHL ratings| PIT | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1483 21st of 32 | 1491 18th of 32 |
| Record | 6-10-2 | 9-4-5 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 5 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | NSH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:47 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:47 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:42 PM ET | 55% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 54% | — |
Penguins vs Predators odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Predators at 58%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 55%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | PIT | NSH | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 42% | 58% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 45% | 55% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Predators a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Predators 1491 (18th of 32), Penguins 1483 (21st). The Predators are 9-4-5 in the Central Division; the Penguins are 6-10-2 in the Metropolitan Division. The Predators have won 5 of their last 5; the Penguins 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Predators won 1, the Penguins 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Anaheim Ducks | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Kings | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Nashville Predators
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Los Angeles Kings | W 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Louis Blues | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins | 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins | 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators | 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins | 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Pittsburgh Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Nashville Predators: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Penguins6-10-2 Metropolitan Division, 8th · L1
- Penguins rating1483 21st of 32, 18 games
- Predators9-4-5 Central Division, 3rd · W5
- Predators rating1491 18th of 32, 17 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Pittsburgh Penguins 6-10-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PENGUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pittsburgh Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Nashville Predators 9-4-5
National Hockey League · Central Division · 3rd · streak W5
No stances yet today on $PREDATORS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nashville Predators bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Predators 55% to win. Projected score Predators 3.4, Penguins 3.1; spread Predators −0.5, total 6.5. Polymarket 58% for the Predators. Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators, Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM ET.