Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: final score and how the prediction did, September 21, 2025
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Houston Texans or Jacksonville Jaguars: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | HOU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HOU10 | JAX17 |
| Average win probability | HOU– | JAX– |
| Longest scoring run | HOU– | JAX– |
| Time leading | HOU– | JAX– |
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction
Ratings: Jaguars 1615 (7th of 32), Texans 1516 (15th). The Jaguars are 5-2 in the AFC South; the Texans are 2-5 in the AFC South. The Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5; the Texans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jaguars won 1, the Texans 5. The roster source lists 12 Jaguars and 12 Texans players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Houston Texans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New York Giants | L 21–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jacksonville Jaguars | W 34–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee Titans | W 26–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dallas Cowboys | L 30–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indianapolis Colts | L 17–19 | – | – | matchup |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Indianapolis Colts | W 42–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Texans | L 31–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Philadelphia Eagles | W 19–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bengals | W 22–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New England Patriots | W 35–6 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 34–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans | 29–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 23–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans | 20–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans | 24–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 37–17 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Houston Texans: Tank Dell WR, Graham Mertz QB, Jayden Higgins WR, Mario Edwards Jr. DT, E.J. Speed LB, British Brooks RB, Jake Hummel LB, Solomon Byrd DE, Ali Gaye DE, Dylan Horton DE, Sam Hagen G, K.C. Ossai LB
Jacksonville Jaguars: DaVon Hamilton DT, Caleb Ransaw S, Eric Murray S, B.J. Green II DE, Jared Bartlett LB, Garrett DiGiorgio OT, Zach Durfee DE, Anton Harrison OT, Parker Hughes LB, Devon Marshall CB, Patrick Mekari G, Sam Mustipher C
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Texans2-5 AFC South, 2nd · L1
- Texans rating1516 15th of 32, 7 games
- Jaguars5-2 AFC South, 1st · W1
- Jaguars rating1615 7th of 32, 7 games
Houston Texans 2-5
National Football League · AFC South · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TEXANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Texans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Football League · AFC South · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $JAGUARS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
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