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Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars: final score and how the prediction did, January 11, 2026

Buffalo Bills or Jacksonville Jaguars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Record 6-1
2724
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBUFJAX
ScoreBUF27JAX24
Average win probabilityBUF–JAX–
Longest scoring runBUF–JAX–
Time leadingBUF–JAX–

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BillsJaguars
Neutrals only–
BillsJaguars
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Jaguars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction

Ratings: Jaguars 1640 (2nd of 32), Bills 1668 (1st). The Jaguars are 5-2 in the AFC South; the Bills are 6-1 in the AFC East. The Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5; the Bills 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jaguars won 1, the Bills 1. The roster source lists 12 Jaguars and 4 Bills players as injured.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Buffalo Bills

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Baltimore RavensW 36–10––matchup
at Las Vegas RaidersW 33–30––matchup
at Los Angeles RamsW 37–34––matchup
vs New England PatriotsL 26–29––matchup
vs Los Angeles ChargersW 24–16––matchup

Jacksonville Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Baltimore RavensW 33–10––matchup
vs Indianapolis ColtsW 42–7––matchup
vs Houston TexansL 31–34––matchup
vs Philadelphia EaglesW 19–17––matchup
at Cincinnati BengalsW 22–17––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills10–47––matchup
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills25–20––matchup

Injuries

Buffalo Bills: Tyrell Shavers WR, Jordan Hancock CB, Dorian Strong CB, Zane Durant DT

Jacksonville Jaguars: DaVon Hamilton DT, Caleb Ransaw S, Eric Murray S, B.J. Green II DE, Jared Bartlett LB, Garrett DiGiorgio OT, Zach Durfee DE, Anton Harrison OT, Parker Hughes LB, Devon Marshall CB, Patrick Mekari G, Sam Mustipher C

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bills6-1 AFC East, 1st · W3
  • Bills rating1668 1st of 32, 7 games
  • Jaguars5-2 AFC South, 1st · W1
  • Jaguars rating1640 2nd of 32, 8 games

Buffalo Bills 6-1

National Football League · AFC East · 1st · streak W3

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BILLS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BILLS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BILLS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BILLS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Buffalo Bills bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bills roster, schedule and more

Jacksonville Jaguars 5-2

National Football League · AFC South · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JAGUARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JAGUARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JAGUARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JAGUARS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Takes on Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

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