LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Clippers at Rockets: Bandwagon's model makes the Rockets a 78% favorite (Rockets −10).
LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Rockets a 78% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NBA marketEach bar is the chance that the Rockets win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 78%.
The largest gap is 2 points: Polymarket has the Rockets at 80%, Axle at 78%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before tip-off
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Why Axle has the Rockets
All NBA ratings| LAC | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1470 20th of 30 | 1633 8th of 30 |
| Record | 2-8 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | HOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:32 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:32 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 78% | +2 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | — |
Clippers vs Rockets odds on Polymarket
Every NBA marketPolymarket prices the Rockets at 80%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 78%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | LAC | HOU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 20% | 80% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 22% | 78% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rockets a 10-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 226. Ratings: Rockets 1633 (8th of 30), Clippers 1470 (20th). The Rockets are 8-3 in the Southwest; the Clippers are 2-8 in the Pacific. The Rockets have won 3 of their last 5; the Clippers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rockets won 3, the Clippers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
LA Clippers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Phoenix Suns | L 110–133 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Orleans Pelicans | W 139–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami Heat | L 116–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Raptors | L 118–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Warriors | L 112–124 | – | – | matchup |
Houston Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Denver Nuggets | W 110–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Phoenix Suns | L 99–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Timberwolves | L 107–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Celtics | W 109–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma City Thunder | W 119–98 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers at Houston Rockets | 105–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| LA Clippers at Houston Rockets | 95–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at LA Clippers | 108–128 | – | – | matchup | |
| LA Clippers at Houston Rockets | 113–115 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at LA Clippers | 117–134 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at LA Clippers | 117–106 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
LA Clippers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Houston Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Clippers2-8 Pacific, 2nd · L1
- Clippers rating1470 20th of 30, 9 games
- Rockets8-3 Southwest, 4th · W1
- Rockets rating1633 8th of 30, 11 games
More NBA games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
LA Clippers 2-8
National Basketball Association · Pacific · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CLIPPERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LA Clippers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Houston Rockets 8-3
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ROCKETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on LA Clippers at Houston Rockets
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Rockets 78% to win. Projected score Rockets 118, Clippers 108; spread Rockets −10, total 226. Polymarket 80% for the Rockets. LA Clippers at Houston Rockets, Mon, Nov 23, 8:30 PM ET.