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Premier League · · Stamford Bridge · every Premier League line

Arsenal vs Chelsea: final score and how the prediction did, October 21, 2023

Arsenal or Chelsea: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 8-1
22
Record 5-3-1
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Arsenal at Chelsea win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Arsenal vs Chelsea live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Arsenal vs Chelsea team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatARSCHE
ScoreARS2CHE2
Average win probabilityARS–CHE–
Longest scoring runARS–CHE–
Time leadingARS–CHE–

Arsenal vs Chelsea odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

ArsenalChelsea
Neutrals only–
ArsenalChelsea
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Chelsea–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction

Ratings: Chelsea 1457 (9th of 20), Arsenal 1631 (1st). The Chelsea are 5-3-1; the Arsenal are 8-1. The Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5; the Arsenal 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Chelsea won 0, the Arsenal 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Arsenal

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at LiverpoolW 1–0––matchup
vs EvertonW 2–0––matchup
at Bayern MunichT 2–2––matchup
at Nottingham ForestW 1–0––matchup
vs LilleW 3–0––matchup

Chelsea

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Manchester UnitedW 2–0––matchup
vs Tottenham HotspurL 0–2––matchup
at EvertonW 2–0––matchup
vs AFC BournemouthW 5–1––matchup
at BrentfordL 0–3––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Chelsea at Arsenal1–2––matchup
Chelsea at Arsenal1–2––matchup
Arsenal at Chelsea1–1––matchup
Chelsea at Arsenal0–1––matchup
Arsenal at Chelsea1–1––matchup
Chelsea at Arsenal0–5––matchup

Injuries

Arsenal: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Chelsea: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Arsenal8-1 1st
  • Arsenal rating1631 1st of 20, 9 games
  • Chelsea5-3-1 4th
  • Chelsea rating1457 9th of 20, 9 games

Arsenal 8-1

Premier League · 1st

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARSENAL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARSENAL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARSENAL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARSENAL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arsenal bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Arsenal roster, schedule and more

Chelsea 5-3-1

Premier League · 4th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHELSEA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHELSEA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHELSEA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CHELSEA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chelsea bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Chelsea roster, schedule and more

Takes on Arsenal at Chelsea

Sign in to post a take on $ARSENALCHELSEA231021: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.