UCF Knights vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
UCF at Colorado: Bandwagon's model makes UCF a 56% favorite (UCF −2).
UCF Knights vs Colorado Buffaloes odds and win probability
Axle gives UCF a 56% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UCF
All CFB ratings| UCF | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1438 89th of 138 | 1352 119th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | COLO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 44% | — |
UCF Knights vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Knights a 2-point favorite, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 50.5. Ratings: Buffaloes 1352 (119th of 138), Knights 1438 (89th). The Buffaloes have won 1 of their last 5; the Knights 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Buffaloes won 1, the Knights 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UCF Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas Jayhawks | W 33–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | L 9–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs BYU Cougars | W 39–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma State Cowboys | L 28–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | L 17–27 | – | – | matchup |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 10–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas State Wildcats | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma State Cowboys | L 24–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Utes | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | L 7–29 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Buffaloes at UCF Knights | 48–21 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UCF Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Colorado Buffaloes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Knights– 9th · W1
- Knights rating1438 89th of 138, 8 games
- Buffaloes– 15th · L1
- Buffaloes rating1352 119th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UCF: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UCF Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 15th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $COLO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado Buffaloes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UCF Knights at Colorado Buffaloes
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.