Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Toledo at Ohio: Bandwagon's model makes Ohio a 56% favorite (Ohio −2.5).
Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Ohio a 56% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Ohio
All CFB ratings| TOL | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1566 45th of 138 | 1592 35th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | OHIO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 56% | −8 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | — |
Toledo Rockets vs Ohio Bobcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 54. Ratings: Bobcats 1592 (35th of 138), Rockets 1566 (45th). The Bobcats have won 4 of their last 5; the Rockets 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bobcats won 1, the Rockets 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Toledo Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Sacramento State Hornets | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Michigan Broncos | W 45–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 34–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Bulls | L 8–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ball State Cardinals | W 39–24 | – | – | matchup |
Ohio Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 17–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | W 28–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento State Hornets | W 48–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | W 31–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Bobcats at Toledo Rockets | 24–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Toledo Rockets at Ohio Bobcats | 17–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Toledo Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ohio Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rockets– 1st · W3
- Rockets rating1566 45th of 138, 8 games
- Bobcats– 2nd · L1
- Bobcats rating1592 35th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $TOL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Toledo Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OHIO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Toledo Rockets at Ohio Bobcats
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.