Texas Longhorns vs Texas A&M Aggies prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Texas at Texas A&M: Bandwagon's model makes Texas a 77% favorite (Texas −12).
Texas Longhorns vs Texas A&M Aggies odds and win probability
Axle gives Texas a 77% chance to win, by about 12 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Texas
All CFB ratings| TEX | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1770 6th of 138 | 1543 54th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W3 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TA&M win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 23% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 23% | — |
Texas Longhorns vs Texas A&M Aggies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Longhorns a 12-point favorite, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Aggies 1543 (54th of 138), Longhorns 1770 (6th). The Aggies have won 1 of their last 5; the Longhorns 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Aggies won 0, the Longhorns 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Texas Longhorns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Missouri Tigers | W 34–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | W 31–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ole Miss Rebels | W 34–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Gators | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup |
Texas A&M Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 9–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | L 20–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri Tigers | L 6–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas Razorbacks | W 34–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | L 6–35 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Longhorns | 17–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies | 17–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Texas Longhorns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas A&M Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Longhorns– 4th · W3
- Longhorns rating1770 6th of 138, 9 games
- Aggies– 14th · L2
- Aggies rating1543 54th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $TEXAS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Longhorns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $TAM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas A&M Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Texas 77% to win. Projected score Texas 30, Texas A&M 18; spread Texas −12, total 48.5. Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies, Fri, Nov 27, 7:30 PM ET.