Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Old Dominion Monarchs prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Southern Miss at Old Dominion: Bandwagon's model makes Old Dominion a 72% favorite (Old Dominion −9.5).
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Old Dominion Monarchs odds and win probability
Axle gives Old Dominion a 72% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Old Dominion
All CFB ratings| USM | ODU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1335 123rd of 138 | 1418 95th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ODU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 72% | — |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Old Dominion Monarchs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Monarchs a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: Monarchs 1418 (95th of 138), Golden Eagles 1335 (123rd). The Monarchs have won 2 of their last 5; the Golden Eagles 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Monarchs won 1, the Golden Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 23–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UL Monroe Warhawks | W 35–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W 35–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 13–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | L 34–55 | – | – | matchup |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 21–8 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marshall Thundering Herd | L 23–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 0–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 15–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at App State Mountaineers | W 10–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 17–13 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Old Dominion Monarchs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Eagles– Sun Belt - West, 6th · L1
- Golden Eagles rating1335 123rd of 138, 8 games
- Monarchs– Sun Belt - East, 7th · W1
- Monarchs rating1418 95th of 138, 9 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $USM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ODU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Old Dominion Monarchs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Old Dominion Monarchs
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Old Dominion 72% to win. Projected score Old Dominion 31, Southern Miss 21; spread Old Dominion −9.5, total 51.5. Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Old Dominion Monarchs, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.