Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Purdue at Indiana: Bandwagon's model makes Indiana a 98% favorite (Indiana −36.5).
Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers odds and win probability
Axle gives Indiana a 98% chance to win, by about 37 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Indiana
All CFB ratings| PUR | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1362 115th of 138 | 1834 2nd of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | IU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 98% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 98% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 98% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 98% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 98% | — |
Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hoosiers a 36.5-point favorite at home, with a 98% chance to win. The model total is 53. Ratings: Hoosiers 1834 (2nd of 138), Boilermakers 1362 (115th). The Hoosiers have won 4 of their last 5; the Boilermakers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Hoosiers won 2, the Boilermakers 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Purdue Boilermakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Maryland Terrapins | L 29–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Huskies | L 26–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Golden Gophers | W 41–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | W 24–17 | – | – | matchup |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota Golden Gophers | W 23–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | W 13–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio State Buckeyes | L 15–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | W 47–15 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers | 56–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers | 0–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers | 31–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers | 30–16 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Indiana Hoosiers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Boilermakers– 15th · L3
- Boilermakers rating1362 115th of 138, 8 games
- Hoosiers– 2nd · W2
- Hoosiers rating1834 2nd of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 15th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $PUR: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Boilermakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $IU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Indiana Hoosiers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Indiana 98% to win. Projected score Indiana 45, Purdue 8; spread Indiana −36.5, total 53. Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.