Oklahoma Sooners vs Missouri Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Oklahoma at Missouri: Bandwagon's model makes Missouri a 63% favorite (Missouri −5).
Oklahoma Sooners vs Missouri Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives Missouri a 63% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Missouri
All CFB ratings| OU | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1603 30th of 138 | 1623 28th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | — |
Oklahoma Sooners vs Missouri Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 47.5. Ratings: Tigers 1623 (28th of 138), Sooners 1603 (30th). The Tigers have won 3 of their last 5; the Sooners 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Sooners 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Oklahoma Sooners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Gators | W 23–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Carolina Gamecocks | L 25–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mississippi State Bulldogs | W 23–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 13–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Longhorns | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup |
Missouri Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Texas Longhorns | L 20–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas Razorbacks | W 34–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 3–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas A&M Aggies | W 27–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Gators | W 45–17 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers at Oklahoma Sooners | 6–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri Tigers | 23–30 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Oklahoma Sooners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sooners– 10th · W1
- Sooners rating1603 30th of 138, 9 games
- Tigers– 9th · L1
- Tigers rating1623 28th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $OU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma Sooners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MIZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri Tigers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Missouri 63% to win. Projected score Missouri 26, Oklahoma 21; spread Missouri −5, total 47.5. Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri Tigers, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.