Michigan State Spartans vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Michigan State at Rutgers: Bandwagon's model makes Michigan State a 53% favorite (Michigan State −1).
Michigan State Spartans vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights odds and win probability
Axle gives Michigan State a 53% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Michigan State
All CFB ratings| MSU | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1432 90th of 138 | 1364 113th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | RUTG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 47% | — |
Michigan State Spartans vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 1-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 51. Ratings: Scarlet Knights 1364 (113th of 138), Spartans 1432 (90th). The Scarlet Knights have won 1 of their last 5; the Spartans 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Scarlet Knights won 2, the Spartans 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Michigan State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Michigan Wolverines | W 15–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 10–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern Wildcats | L 21–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois Fighting Illini | L 37–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 3–31 | – | – | matchup |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 10–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan Wolverines | L 21–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northwestern Wildcats | L 14–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Terrapins | W 37–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Hoosiers | L 15–47 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan State Spartans | 41–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| Michigan State Spartans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan State Spartans | 21–27 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Michigan State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spartans– 17th · W1
- Spartans rating1432 90th of 138, 9 games
- Scarlet Knights– 18th · L3
- Scarlet Knights rating1364 113th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 17th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 18th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $RUTG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Michigan State Spartans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Michigan State 53% to win. Projected score Michigan State 26, Rutgers 25; spread Michigan State −1, total 51. Michigan State Spartans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.