Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Georgia State Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Louisiana at Georgia State: Bandwagon's model makes Louisiana a 58% favorite (Louisiana −3).
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Georgia State Panthers odds and win probability
Axle gives Louisiana a 58% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Louisiana
All CFB ratings| UL | GAST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1506 65th of 138 | 1404 103rd of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | GAST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 42% | — |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Georgia State Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ragin' Cajuns a 3-point favorite, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 55. Ratings: Panthers 1404 (103rd of 138), Ragin' Cajuns 1506 (65th). The Panthers have won 2 of their last 5; the Ragin' Cajuns 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 1, the Ragin' Cajuns 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 28–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L 31–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Troy Trojans | W 33–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 31–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 23–20 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at App State Mountaineers | W 39–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 20–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 32–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 22–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | W 42–10 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 20–17 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Ragin' Cajuns– Sun Belt - West, 2nd · W1
- Ragin' Cajuns rating1506 65th of 138, 8 games
- Panthers– Sun Belt - East, 3rd · W1
- Panthers rating1404 103rd of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GAST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Georgia State Panthers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Louisiana 58% to win. Projected score Louisiana 29, Georgia State 26; spread Louisiana −3, total 55. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Georgia State Panthers, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.