Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerYale 78%
- Projected scoreYale 75, Vermont 66
- Model spreadYale −9.5 total 141.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Vermont Catamounts or Yale Bulldogs: the bandwagon
Axle 22–78Market –
Vermont Catamounts at Yale Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UVM | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UVM– | YALE– |
| Average win probability | UVM– | YALE– |
| Longest scoring run | UVM– | YALE– |
| Time leading | UVM– | YALE– |
Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | YALE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | — |
- Ratings
- YALE 1630 · UVM 1532
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 141.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1630 (34th of 361), Catamounts 1532 (128th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Catamounts are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Catamounts 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 3, the Catamounts 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Vermont Catamounts
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iona Gaels | L 55–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UMBC Retrievers | L 59–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NJIT Highlanders | W 63–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bryant Bulldogs | W 77–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UAlbany Great Danes | W 69–56 | – | – | matchup |
Yale Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Howard Bison | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | L 67–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pennsylvania Quakers | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cornell Big Red | W 88–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Princeton Tigers | W 78–53 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale Bulldogs at Vermont Catamounts | 77–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vermont Catamounts at Yale Bulldogs | 50–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| Yale Bulldogs at Vermont Catamounts | 65–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vermont Catamounts at Yale Bulldogs | 44–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Vermont Catamounts: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Yale Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Catamounts0-1 9th · L1
- Catamounts rating1532 128th of 361, 1 games
- Bulldogs1-0 5th · W1
- Bulldogs rating1630 34th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UVMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vermont Catamounts bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Yale Bulldogs 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $YALEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Yale Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Vermont Catamounts at Yale Bulldogs
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