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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Qubein Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs High Point Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Southern Utah Thunderbirds or High Point Panthers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 12–88Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: HPU 88%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 12 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Southern Utah Thunderbirds at High Point Panthers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs High Point Panthers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs High Point Panthers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSUUHPU
ScoreSUU–HPU–
Average win probabilitySUU–HPU–
Longest scoring runSUU–HPU–
Time leadingSUU–HPU–

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs High Point Panthers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:11 AM ET
Thunderbirds12%
Win chance
Panthers88%
SpreadHPU −14.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+761away / −761homeaway / home
Line movementHPU win chance, 48 stored lines
−3 pts for HPU since Oct 29
96%81%
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: HPU 91%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: HPU 91%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: HPU 91%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: HPU 87%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: HPU 87%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: HPU 88%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: HPU 88%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: HPU 88%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredHPU winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET88%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET88%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET88%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET88%+1
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET87%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET87%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET91%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET91%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET91%—
Ratings
HPU 1648 · SUU 1416
Home spread
−14.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

ThunderbirdsPanthers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Panthers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs High Point Panthers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Panthers 1645 (23rd of 361), Thunderbirds 1416 (296th). The Panthers are 1-0; the Thunderbirds are 1-0. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5; the Thunderbirds 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UT Arlington MavericksL 63–69––matchup
vs California Baptist LancersL 75–82––matchup
vs Utah Valley WolverinesL 88–92––matchup
vs Utah Tech TrailblazersW 81–67––matchup
at Abilene Christian WildcatsL 83–87––matchup

High Point Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Maryland Eastern Shore HawksW 63–49––matchup
vs Liberty FlamesW 72–57––matchup
at Arkansas RazorbacksL 88–94––matchup
at Wisconsin BadgersW 83–82––matchup
vs Winthrop EaglesW 91–76––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Southern Utah Thunderbirds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

High Point Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Thunderbirds1-0 4th · W1
  • Thunderbirds rating1416 296th of 361, 0 games
  • Panthers1-0 1st · W1
  • Panthers rating1645 23rd of 361, 1 games

Southern Utah Thunderbirds 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SUUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SUUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SUUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SUUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Thunderbirds roster, schedule and more

High Point Panthers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $HPUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HPUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $HPUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

1 stance today on $HPUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the High Point Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Southern Utah Thunderbirds at High Point Panthers

Sign in to post a take on $SUUMBBHPUMBB261113: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: High Point 88% to win. Projected score High Point 80, Southern Utah 66; spread High Point −14.5, total 145.5. Southern Utah Thunderbirds at High Point Panthers, Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET.