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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Littlejohn Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Clemson Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 9, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

North Dakota Fighting Hawks or Clemson Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 15–85Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CLEM 85%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 9 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Clemson Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Clemson Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Clemson Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUNDCLEM
ScoreUND–CLEM–
Average win probabilityUND–CLEM–
Longest scoring runUND–CLEM–
Time leadingUND–CLEM–

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Clemson Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:11 AM ET
Fighting Hawks15%
Win chance
Tigers85%
SpreadCLEM −12.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+549away / −549homeaway / home
Line movementCLEM win chance, 46 stored lines
+20 pts for CLEM since Oct 29
92%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CLEM 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CLEM 87%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CLEM 87%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CLEM 87%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: CLEM 83%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: CLEM 85%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: CLEM 85%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredCLEM winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET85%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET85%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET85%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET85%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET85%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET85%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET85%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET85%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET85%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET85%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET85%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET85%+2
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET83%0
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET83%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET83%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET83%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET87%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET87%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET87%+22
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
CLEM 1609 · UND 1430
Home spread
−12.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Fighting HawksTigers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Clemson Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1609 (42nd of 361), Fighting Hawks 1430 (278th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Fighting Hawks are 0-1. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 5; the Fighting Hawks 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Minnesota Golden GophersL 50–85––matchup
at North Dakota State BisonL 62–70––matchup
at St. Thomas TommiesW 67–66––matchup
vs Denver PioneersW 83–67––matchup
at North Dakota State BisonL 63–96––matchup

Clemson Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Stetson HattersW 85–72––matchup
vs Iowa HawkeyesL 61–67––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsL 61–73––matchup
at North Carolina Tar HeelsW 80–79––matchup
vs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 71–62––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

North Dakota Fighting Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Clemson Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Fighting Hawks0-1 7th · L1
  • Fighting Hawks rating1430 278th of 361, 1 games
  • Tigers1-0 3rd · W1
  • Tigers rating1609 42nd of 361, 1 games

North Dakota Fighting Hawks 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNDMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNDMBB
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No stances yet today on $UNDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Fighting Hawks roster, schedule and more

Clemson Tigers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLEMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLEMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CLEMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CLEMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Clemson Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Clemson Tigers

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Model: Clemson 85% to win. Projected score Clemson 79, North Dakota 67; spread Clemson −12.5, total 145.5. North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Clemson Tigers, Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM ET.