Bradley Braves vs George Mason Patriots prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerGeorge Mason 55%
- Projected scoreGeorge Mason 74, Bradley 71
- Model spreadGeorge Mason −2.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bradley Braves or George Mason Patriots: the bandwagon
Axle 45–55Market –
Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Bradley Braves vs George Mason Patriots live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Bradley Braves vs George Mason Patriots team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | BRAD | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BRAD– | GMU– |
| Average win probability | BRAD– | GMU– |
| Longest scoring run | BRAD– | GMU– |
| Time leading | BRAD– | GMU– |
Bradley Braves vs George Mason Patriots odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 55% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | — |
- Ratings
- GMU 1572 · BRAD 1558
- Home spread
- −2.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:05 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bradley Braves vs George Mason Patriots prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Patriots a 2.5-point favorite, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Patriots 1572 (69th of 361), Braves 1558 (81st). The Patriots are 1-0; the Braves are 1-0. The Patriots have won 2 of their last 5; the Braves 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Patriots won 0, the Braves 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Bradley Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Dayton Flyers | L 66–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Iowa Panthers | L 69–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Valparaiso Beacons | W 90–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Murray State Racers | W 87–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UIC Flames | L 86–93 | – | – | matchup |
George Mason Patriots
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UMBC Retrievers | W 82–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 71–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L 57–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Louis Billikens | W 86–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VCU Rams | L 65–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots | 75–67 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Bradley Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
George Mason Patriots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Braves1-0 2nd · W1
- Braves rating1558 81st of 361, 0 games
- Patriots1-0 4th · W1
- Patriots rating1572 69th of 361, 1 games
Bradley Braves 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BRADMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bradley Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the George Mason Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots
Sign in to post a take on $BRADMBBGMUMBB261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: George Mason 55% to win. Projected score George Mason 74, Bradley 71; spread George Mason −2.5, total 145.5. Bradley Braves at George Mason Patriots, Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET.