Mainz vs Hamburg SV: final score and how the prediction did, October 5, 2025
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Mainz or Hamburg SV: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
Mainz at Hamburg SV win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Mainz vs Hamburg SV live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
Mainz vs Hamburg SV team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | M05 | HSV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | M050 | HSV4 |
| Average win probability | M05– | HSV– |
| Longest scoring run | M05– | HSV– |
| Time leading | M05– | HSV– |
Mainz vs Hamburg SV odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Mainz vs Hamburg SV prediction
Ratings: Hamburg SV 1370 (17th of 18), Mainz 1399 (13th). The Hamburg SV are 3-5; the Mainz are 3-4-1. The Hamburg SV have won 3 of their last 5; the Mainz 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Hamburg SV won 0, the Mainz 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Mainz
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at SV Elversberg | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Werder Bremen | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Schalke 04 | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bayer Leverkusen | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Borussia Mönchengladbach | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Hamburg SV
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SC Paderborn 07 | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VfB Stuttgart | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at TSG Hoffenheim | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Cologne | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz at Hamburg SV | 5–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Hamburg SV at Mainz | 1–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Mainz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Hamburg SV: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mainz3-4-1 9th
- Mainz rating1399 13th of 18, 8 games
- Hamburg SV3-5 15th
- Hamburg SV rating1370 17th of 18, 8 games
Mainz 3-4-1
Bundesliga · 9th
No stances yet today on $MAINZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mainz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Hamburg SV 3-5
Bundesliga · 15th
No stances yet today on $HAMBURG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hamburg SV bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mainz at Hamburg SV
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