NBAPOR 116 PHX 97· 7:04 - 4thNBATOR 109 DEN 128· 0.0 - 4thNBADAL 51 SA 68· 10:21 - 3rdNHLCGY 1 SEA 0· 8:25 - 2ndNBALAL 61 SAC 54· HalftimeCBBMILW 42 SCU 70· 12:47 - 2ndCBBNDSU 43 SMC 75· 10:20 - 2ndWCBBSMC 45 STAN 65· 0:15 - 3rdNHLSJ 1 LA 3· 12:45 - 2ndNBAMIA 37 LAC 50· 5:08 - 2ndWCBBUNF–FSU11:00 AMWCBBHAMP–SMU12:00 PMWCBBM-OH–SEMO12:00 PMWCBBSTBK–IONA1:00 PMWCBBUNT–SDSU2:00 PMWCBBHAW–SF3:00 PMWCBBUIC–RMU4:00 PMWCBBUCF–FLA4:30 PMCBBMCN–UNT5:00 PMCBBWAKE–VAN6:00 PMWCBBCLT–TTU6:00 PMWCBBDART–HC6:00 PMWCBBMSM–UMBC6:00 PMCBBCHST–UIW6:00 PMCBBBELL–IU6:00 PMCBBUTC–PSU6:00 PMWCBBMRST–BRY6:00 PMWCBBCAN–UNH6:00 PMWCBBMRMK–NJIT6:00 PMWCBBUWF–WCU6:00 PMWCBBPRES–WAKE6:00 PMWCBBSIE–ME6:00 PMWCBBCCSU–JMU6:00 PMWCBBSIUE–IUIN6:30 PMWCBBCONN–MICH6:30 PMWCBBNKU–UK6:30 PMWCBBCMU–OSU6:30 PMWCBBLIP–BTLR6:30 PMCBBLIU–HALL6:30 PMWCBBMAN–UALB6:30 PMAll scores
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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces: final score and how the prediction did, May 9, 2026

Phoenix Mercury or Las Vegas Aces: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 16-28
9966
Record 31-13
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatPHXLV
ScorePHX99LV66
Average win probabilityPHX–LV–
Longest scoring runPHX–LV–
Time leadingPHX–LV–

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

MercuryAces
Neutrals only–
MercuryAces
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Aces–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces prediction

Ratings: Aces 1605 (4th of 15), Mercury 1386 (11th). The Aces are 31-13; the Mercury are 16-28. The Aces have won 1 of their last 5; the Mercury 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Aces won 6, the Mercury 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Phoenix Mercury

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Las Vegas AcesL 82–100––matchup
vs Dallas WingsW 87–86––matchup
at Dallas WingsL 82–87––matchup
at Portland FireW 94–91––matchup
vs Toronto TempoW 101–69––matchup

Las Vegas Aces

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Golden State ValkyriesL 77–87––matchup
at Golden State ValkyriesL 81–83––matchup
at Golden State ValkyriesL 60–71––matchup
vs Indiana FeverW 94–83––matchup
at Indiana FeverL 89–99––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury100–82––matchup
Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces58–106––matchup
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury86–76––matchup
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury97–86––matchup
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury90–88––matchup
Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces78–91––matchup

Injuries

Phoenix Mercury: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Las Vegas Aces: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mercury16-28 7th · L1
  • Mercury rating1386 11th of 15, 44 games
  • Aces31-13 3rd · W7
  • Aces rating1605 4th of 15, 51 games

Phoenix Mercury 16-28

Women's National Basketball Association · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MERCURY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MERCURY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MERCURY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MERCURY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Phoenix Mercury bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mercury roster, schedule and more

Las Vegas Aces 31-13

Women's National Basketball Association · 3rd · streak W7

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ACES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ACES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ACES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ACES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Las Vegas Aces bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Aces roster, schedule and more

Takes on Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces

Sign in to post a take on $MERCURYACES260509: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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