Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury: final score and how the prediction did, October 10, 2025
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Las Vegas Aces or Phoenix Mercury: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | LV | PHX |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LV97 | PHX86 |
| Average win probability | LV– | PHX– |
| Longest scoring run | LV– | PHX– |
| Time leading | LV– | PHX– |
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury prediction
Ratings: Mercury 1386 (11th of 15), Aces 1605 (4th). The Mercury are 16-28; the Aces are 31-13. The Mercury have won 3 of their last 5; the Aces 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mercury won 1, the Aces 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Las Vegas Aces
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Golden State Valkyries | L 77–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Valkyries | L 81–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Valkyries | L 60–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Fever | W 94–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Fever | L 89–99 | – | – | matchup |
Phoenix Mercury
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Las Vegas Aces | L 82–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dallas Wings | W 87–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Wings | L 82–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Fire | W 94–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Tempo | W 101–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury | 100–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces | 58–106 | – | – | matchup | |
| Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury | 86–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces | 99–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury | 90–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces | 78–91 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Las Vegas Aces: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Phoenix Mercury: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Aces31-13 3rd · W7
- Aces rating1605 4th of 15, 51 games
- Mercury16-28 7th · L1
- Mercury rating1386 11th of 15, 44 games
Las Vegas Aces 31-13
Women's National Basketball Association · 3rd · streak W7
No stances yet today on $ACES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Las Vegas Aces bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Phoenix Mercury 16-28
Women's National Basketball Association · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MERCURY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Phoenix Mercury bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury
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