Tarleton State Texans vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and picks, November 8, 2026
- Projected winnerTCU 93%
- Projected scoreTCU 75, Tarleton State 55
- Model spreadTCU −20.5 total 130
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tarleton State Texans or TCU Horned Frogs: the bandwagon
Axle 7–93Market –
Tarleton State Texans at TCU Horned Frogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Tarleton State Texans vs TCU Horned Frogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Tarleton State Texans vs TCU Horned Frogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TAR | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TAR– | TCU– |
| Average win probability | TAR– | TCU– |
| Longest scoring run | TAR– | TCU– |
| Time leading | TAR– | TCU– |
Tarleton State Texans vs TCU Horned Frogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TCU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 93% | −1 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 94% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 93% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 96% | +33 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- TCU 1751 · TAR 1462
- Home spread
- −20.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Tarleton State Texans vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Horned Frogs a 20.5-point favorite at home, with a 93% chance to win. The model total is 130. Ratings: Horned Frogs 1751 (7th of 356), Texans 1449 (226th). The Horned Frogs are 1-0; the Texans are 1-0. The Horned Frogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Texans 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Horned Frogs won 1, the Texans 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tarleton State Texans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W 66–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 60–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Valley Wolverines | W 60–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Arlington Mavericks | W 65–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Baptist Lancers | L 67–76 | – | – | matchup |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 99–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 52–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 79–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Huskies | W 62–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC San Diego Tritons | W 86–40 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans at TCU Horned Frogs | 32–80 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tarleton State Texans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Texans1-0 5th · W1
- Texans rating1449 226th of 356, 0 games
- Horned Frogs1-0 10th · W1
- Horned Frogs rating1751 7th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TARWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tarleton State Texans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
TCU Horned Frogs 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TCUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: TCU 93% to win. Projected score TCU 75, Tarleton State 55; spread TCU −20.5, total 130. Tarleton State Texans at TCU Horned Frogs, Sun, Nov 8, 3:00 PM ET.