Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wichita State Shockers prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026
- Projected winnerMissouri State 74%
- Projected scoreMissouri State 66, Wichita State 61
- Model spreadMissouri State −4.5 total 127
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Missouri State Lady Bears or Wichita State Shockers: the bandwagon
Axle 74–26Market –
Missouri State Lady Bears at Wichita State Shockers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wichita State Shockers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wichita State Shockers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MOST | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MOST– | WICH– |
| Average win probability | MOST– | WICH– |
| Longest scoring run | MOST– | WICH– |
| Time leading | MOST– | WICH– |
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wichita State Shockers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WICH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 26% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 27% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 28% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 29% | +8 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 21% | −42 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- WICH 1385 · MOST 1600
- Home spread
- +4.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wichita State Shockers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Bears a 4.5-point favorite, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 127. Ratings: Shockers 1385 (294th of 356), Lady Bears 1600 (76th). The Shockers are 0-1; the Lady Bears are 1-0. The Shockers have won 2 of their last 5; the Lady Bears 4 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Shockers won 0, the Lady Bears 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 77–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 45–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W 85–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | W 43–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida International Panthers | W 74–69 | – | – | matchup |
Wichita State Shockers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas State Wildcats | L 41–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 61–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Texas Mean Green | W 60–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | L 54–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | W 60–54 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears at Wichita State Shockers | 66–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| Missouri State Lady Bears at Wichita State Shockers | 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| Wichita State Shockers at Missouri State Lady Bears | 65–72 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Missouri State Lady Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Wichita State Shockers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Bears1-0 5th · W1
- Lady Bears rating1600 76th of 356, 1 games
- Shockers0-1 12th · L1
- Shockers rating1385 294th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MOSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Lady Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WICHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wichita State Shockers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Missouri State 74% to win. Projected score Missouri State 66, Wichita State 61; spread Missouri State −4.5, total 127. Missouri State Lady Bears at Wichita State Shockers, Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 PM ET.