Missouri State Lady Bears vs Saint Louis Billikens prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerMissouri State 69%
- Projected scoreMissouri State 68, Saint Louis 65
- Model spreadMissouri State −2.5 total 133
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Missouri State Lady Bears or Saint Louis Billikens: the bandwagon
Axle 69–31Market –
Missouri State Lady Bears at Saint Louis Billikens win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Saint Louis Billikens live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Saint Louis Billikens team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MOST | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MOST– | SLU– |
| Average win probability | MOST– | SLU– |
| Longest scoring run | MOST– | SLU– |
| Time leading | MOST– | SLU– |
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Saint Louis Billikens odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SLU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 31% | — |
- Ratings
- SLU 1420 · MOST 1600
- Home spread
- +2.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Saint Louis Billikens prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Bears a 2.5-point favorite, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 133. Ratings: Billikens 1420 (258th of 356), Lady Bears 1600 (76th). The Billikens are 0-1; the Lady Bears are 1-0. The Billikens have won 1 of their last 5; the Lady Bears 4 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Billikens won 1, the Lady Bears 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 77–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 45–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W 85–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | W 43–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida International Panthers | W 74–69 | – | – | matchup |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L 84–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at La Salle Explorers | L 51–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fordham Rams | W 68–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Davidson Wildcats | L 62–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Duquesne Dukes | L 64–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens at Missouri State Lady Bears | 66–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| Missouri State Lady Bears at Saint Louis Billikens | 91–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| Missouri State Lady Bears at Saint Louis Billikens | 67–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| Saint Louis Billikens at Missouri State Lady Bears | 55–71 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Missouri State Lady Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Saint Louis Billikens: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Bears1-0 5th · W1
- Lady Bears rating1600 76th of 356, 1 games
- Billikens0-1 11th · L1
- Billikens rating1420 258th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MOSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Lady Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SLUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Saint Louis Billikens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Missouri State 69% to win. Projected score Missouri State 68, Saint Louis 65; spread Missouri State −2.5, total 133. Missouri State Lady Bears at Saint Louis Billikens, Wed, Nov 18, 8:00 PM ET.