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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Hinkle Fieldhouse · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Butler Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Kent State Golden Flashes or Butler Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 35–65Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: BTLR 65%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 6:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Kent State Golden Flashes at Butler Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Butler Bulldogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Butler Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatKENTBTLR
ScoreKENT–BTLR–
Average win probabilityKENT–BTLR–
Longest scoring runKENT–BTLR–
Time leadingKENT–BTLR–

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Butler Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Golden Flashes35%
Win chance
Bulldogs65%
SpreadBTLR −7
Total137.5
Moneyline+184away / −184homeaway / home
Line movementBTLR win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
70%59%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: BTLR 65%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: BTLR 65%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredBTLR winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET65%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET65%—
Ratings
BTLR 1505 · KENT 1493
Home spread
−7
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Golden FlashesBulldogs
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Butler Bulldogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 7-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 137.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1505 (162nd of 356), Golden Flashes 1493 (179th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Golden Flashes are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Golden Flashes 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Kent State Golden Flashes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Troy TrojansL 78–89––matchup
at Miami (OH) RedHawksL 58–65––matchup
vs Western Michigan BroncosW 67–60––matchup
at Miami (OH) RedHawksL 52–71––matchup
vs Central Michigan ChippewasW 63–56––matchup

Butler Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesW 108–71––matchup
at Georgetown HoyasL 58–62––matchup
vs Seton Hall PiratesW 62–55––matchup
at DePaul Blue DemonsW 71–64––matchup
at Georgetown HoyasW 66–58––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Kent State Golden Flashes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Butler Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Golden Flashes0-1 9th · L1
  • Golden Flashes rating1493 179th of 356, 1 games
  • Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1505 162nd of 356, 1 games

Kent State Golden Flashes 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KENTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KENTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KENTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $KENTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kent State Golden Flashes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Flashes roster, schedule and more

Butler Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BTLRWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BTLRWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BTLRWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BTLRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Butler Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Kent State Golden Flashes at Butler Bulldogs

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Model: Butler 65% to win. Projected score Butler 72, Kent State 65; spread Butler −7, total 137.5. Kent State Golden Flashes at Butler Bulldogs, Wed, Nov 18, 6:30 PM ET.