Troy Trojans lead Kent State Golden Flashes 2-0 early in the first period, with 8:51 left on the clock. The model gives Kent State a 42% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Memorial Athletic and Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Troy Trojans vs Kent State Golden Flashes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreTroy 89, Kent State 78 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTroy 58%
- Model spreadKent State −0.5 total 130.5
- Margin11
- Total167 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Troy Trojans or Kent State Golden Flashes: the bandwagon
Axle 58–42Market –
FinalPregame: KENT 42%Baseline: KENT 17.4% (−24.7)Big swing: 12.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 26 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 89 |
| KENT | 21 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 78 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–
Troy Trojans at Kent State Golden Flashes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.1 points for KENT over the last 5:00
Big swing12.2 ptstoward TROY at 23:47 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineKENT 17.4%game average, −24.7 points from the pregame 42.1%
Troy Trojans vs Kent State Golden Flashes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TROY | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | TROY32/70 | KENT25/68 |
| 3-pointers | TROY11/28 | KENT5/24 |
| Free throws | TROY14/18 | KENT23/31 |
| Rebounds | TROY45 | KENT39 |
| Assists | TROY19 | KENT15 |
| Turnovers | TROY18 | KENT13 |
| Steals | TROY7 | KENT7 |
| Blocks | TROY7 | KENT0 |
| Points in the paint | TROY36 | KENT30 |
| Fast-break points | TROY24 | KENT10 |
| Fouls | TROY27 | KENT16 |
| Largest lead | TROY22 | KENT4 |
Troy Trojans vs Kent State Golden Flashes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TROY | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TROY89 | KENT78 |
| Average win probability | TROY83% | KENT17% |
| Longest scoring run | TROY+16 | KENT+6 |
| Time leading | TROY35:42 | KENT3:33 |
Troy Trojans vs Kent State Golden Flashes odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET
Trojans58%
Win chanceGolden Flashes42%
SpreadKENT −0.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline−138away / +138homeaway / home
Line movementKENT win chance, 26 stored lines
−21 pts for KENT between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%31%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | KENT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 42% | +6 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 36% | −27 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- KENT 1511 · TROY 1625
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Troy Trojans 89, Kent State Golden Flashes 78. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
TrojansGolden Flashes
Neutrals only–
TrojansGolden Flashes
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Golden Flashes–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Troy Trojans vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Trojans the favorite, with a 58% chance to win; its spread is Golden Flashes −0.5. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Golden Flashes 1493 (179th of 356), Trojans 1642 (45th). The Golden Flashes are 0-1; the Trojans are 1-0. The Golden Flashes have won 2 of their last 5; the Trojans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Flashes won 1, the Trojans 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Troy Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | W 89–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 70–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 52–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 83–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 69–76 | – | – | matchup |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Troy Trojans | L 78–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 58–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Michigan Broncos | W 67–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 52–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Michigan Chippewas | W 63–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State Golden Flashes at Troy Trojans | 84–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Troy Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kent State Golden Flashes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Trojans1-0 9th · W1
- Trojans rating1642 45th of 356, 1 games
- Golden Flashes0-1 9th · L1
- Golden Flashes rating1493 179th of 356, 1 games
Troy Trojans 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TROYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TROYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TROYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TROYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Troy Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KENTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KENTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KENTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $KENTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kent State Golden Flashes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Troy Trojans at Kent State Golden Flashes
Sign in to post a take on $TROYWBBKENTWBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.