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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Great Southern Bank Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Illinois State Redbirds vs Missouri State Lady Bears: final score and how the prediction did, March 6, 2025

Illinois State Redbirds or Missouri State Lady Bears: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
4772
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Lady Bears win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Illinois State Redbirds vs Missouri State Lady Bears live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Illinois State Redbirds vs Missouri State Lady Bears team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatILSTMOST
ScoreILST47MOST72
Average win probabilityILST–MOST–
Longest scoring runILST–MOST–
Time leadingILST–MOST–

Illinois State Redbirds vs Missouri State Lady Bears odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RedbirdsLady Bears
Neutrals only–
RedbirdsLady Bears
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Lady Bears–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Illinois State Redbirds vs Missouri State Lady Bears prediction

Ratings: Lady Bears 1600 (79th of 356), Redbirds 1559 (113th). The Lady Bears are 1-0; the Redbirds are 1-0. The Lady Bears have won 4 of their last 5; the Redbirds 4 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lady Bears won 2, the Redbirds 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Illinois State Redbirds

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Dayton FlyersW 91–87––matchup
vs Chicago State CougarsW 106–69––matchup
at Marshall Thundering HerdL 41–66––matchup
at South Dakota CoyotesW 67–60––matchup
vs George Washington RevolutionariesW 61–53––matchup

Missouri State Lady Bears

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Southeast Missouri State RedhawksW 77–40––matchup
at Texas LonghornsL 45–87––matchup
vs Stephen F. Austin LadyjacksW 85–75––matchup
at Louisiana Tech Lady TechstersW 43–38––matchup
at Florida International PanthersW 74–69––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Missouri State Lady Bears at Illinois State Redbirds55–66––matchup
Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Lady Bears62–67––matchup
Missouri State Lady Bears at Illinois State Redbirds78–85––matchup
Missouri State Lady Bears at Illinois State Redbirds71–66––matchup
Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Lady Bears67–63––matchup

Injuries

Illinois State Redbirds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Missouri State Lady Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Redbirds1-0 2nd · W1
  • Redbirds rating1559 113th of 356, 2 games
  • Lady Bears1-0 5th · W1
  • Lady Bears rating1600 79th of 356, 1 games

Illinois State Redbirds 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ILSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ILSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ILSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ILSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Illinois State Redbirds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Redbirds roster, schedule and more

Missouri State Lady Bears 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MOSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MOSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MOSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MOSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Lady Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lady Bears roster, schedule and more

Takes on Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Lady Bears

Sign in to post a take on $ILSTWBBMOSTWBB250307: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Final: Illinois State 47, Missouri State 72. Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Lady Bears at Great Southern Bank Arena: form, head-to-head and the crowd's pick.