Hofstra Pride vs Iona Gaels prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026
- Projected winnerIona 73%
- Projected scoreIona 70, Hofstra 61
- Model spreadIona −9.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Hofstra Pride or Iona Gaels: the bandwagon
Axle 27–73Market –
Hofstra Pride at Iona Gaels win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Hofstra Pride vs Iona Gaels live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Hofstra Pride vs Iona Gaels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | HOF | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HOF– | IONA– |
| Average win probability | HOF– | IONA– |
| Longest scoring run | HOF– | IONA– |
| Time leading | HOF– | IONA– |
Hofstra Pride vs Iona Gaels odds
Every stored line
| Stored | IONA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 73% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | — |
- Ratings
- IONA 1493 · HOF 1423
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hofstra Pride vs Iona Gaels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gaels a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Gaels 1493 (180th of 356), Pride 1423 (254th). The Gaels are 1-0; the Pride are 0-1. The Gaels have won 4 of their last 5; the Pride 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gaels won 2, the Pride 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Hofstra Pride
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L 65–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charleston Cougars | L 56–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Drexel Dragons | W 53–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Campbell Fighting Camels | W 55–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Towson Tigers | W 72–71 | – | – | matchup |
Iona Gaels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 62–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Siena Saints | W 59–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Manhattan Jaspers | W 65–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Peter's Peacocks | W 66–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Siena Saints | W 61–52 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels at Hofstra Pride | 43–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| Iona Gaels at Hofstra Pride | 59–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| Hofstra Pride at Iona Gaels | 46–62 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Hofstra Pride: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iona Gaels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pride0-1 11th · L1
- Pride rating1423 254th of 356, 1 games
- Gaels1-0 1st · W1
- Gaels rating1493 180th of 356, 0 games
Hofstra Pride 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $HOFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hofstra Pride bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Iona Gaels 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $IONAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iona Gaels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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