Minnesota Golden Gophers lead Harvard Crimson 37-30 with 9:46 left in the 3rd, a 7-point margin. The model has Minnesota at 72% right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Williams Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Harvard Crimson vs Minnesota Golden Gophers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreHarvard 62, Minnesota 82 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMinnesota 73%
- Pregame Projected scoreMinnesota 70, Harvard 61
- Model spreadMinnesota −9.5 total 130.5
- Margin20 projected 9.3
- Total144 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Harvard Crimson or Minnesota Golden Gophers: the bandwagon
Axle 28–73Market –
FinalPregame: MINN 72%Baseline: MINN 82.3% (+9.8)Big swing: 17.8 ptsClutch window: 3:24
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 14 | 16 | 22 | 10 | 62 |
| MINN | 17 | 20 | 17 | 28 | 82 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Harvard Crimson at Minnesota Golden Gophers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+2.4 points for MINN over the last 5:00
Big swing17.8 ptstoward HARV at 29:42 of game time
Clutch window3:24within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineMINN 82.3%game average, +9.8 points from the pregame 72.5%
Harvard Crimson vs Minnesota Golden Gophers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | HARV | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | HARV24/70 | MINN27/61 |
| 3-pointers | HARV9/31 | MINN3/16 |
| Free throws | HARV5/7 | MINN25/28 |
| Rebounds | HARV38 | MINN44 |
| Assists | HARV14 | MINN12 |
| Turnovers | HARV18 | MINN16 |
| Steals | HARV8 | MINN10 |
| Blocks | HARV4 | MINN2 |
| Points in the paint | HARV28 | MINN44 |
| Fast-break points | HARV10 | MINN8 |
| Fouls | HARV24 | MINN10 |
| Largest lead | HARV2 | MINN23 |
Harvard Crimson vs Minnesota Golden Gophers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | HARV | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HARV62 | MINN82 |
| Average win probability | HARV18% | MINN82% |
| Longest scoring run | HARV+8 | MINN+12 |
| Time leading | HARV0:18 | MINN29:49 |
Harvard Crimson vs Minnesota Golden Gophers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET
Crimson28%
Win chanceGolden Gophers73%
SpreadMINN −9.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+264away / −264homeaway / home
Line movementMINN win chance, 17 stored lines
+10 pts for MINN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
81%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | MINN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 73% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 75% | +12 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MINN 1683 · HARV 1618
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- home 72% → 73%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Harvard Crimson 62, Minnesota Golden Gophers 82. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
CrimsonGolden Gophers
Neutrals only–
CrimsonGolden Gophers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Golden Gophers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Harvard Crimson vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Gophers a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Golden Gophers 1696 (18th of 356), Crimson 1605 (73rd). The Golden Gophers are 1-0; the Crimson are 0-1. The Golden Gophers have won 3 of their last 5; the Crimson 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Harvard Crimson
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | L 62–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 61–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W 63–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | W 73–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Princeton Tigers | L 53–63 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Harvard Crimson | W 82–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 56–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ole Miss Rebels | W 65–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Green Bay Phoenix | W 75–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio State Buckeyes | L 55–60 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Harvard Crimson: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Golden Gophers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Crimson0-1 8th · L1
- Crimson rating1605 73rd of 356, 1 games
- Golden Gophers1-0 4th · W1
- Golden Gophers rating1696 18th of 356, 1 games
Harvard Crimson 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HARVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HARVWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $HARVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Harvard Crimson bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MINNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MINNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MINNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MINNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Golden Gophers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Harvard Crimson at Minnesota Golden Gophers
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