Florida Gators lead Bucknell Bison 42-25 at halftime, a 17-point margin. The model has the Gators at 85 percent, and the crowd has logged no picks yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · O'Connell Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Bucknell Bison vs Florida Gators: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBucknell 60, Florida 83 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerFlorida 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreFlorida 72, Bucknell 58
- Model spreadFlorida −14.5 total 130.5
- Margin23 projected 14.4
- Total143 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bucknell Bison or Florida Gators: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market –
FinalPregame: FLA 85%Baseline: FLA 97.2% (+12.5)Big swing: 4.3 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 14 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 60 |
| FLA | 27 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 83 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Bucknell Bison at Florida Gators win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for FLA over the last 5:00
Big swing4.3 ptstoward BUCK at 2:43 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineFLA 97.2%game average, +12.5 points from the pregame 84.7%
Bucknell Bison vs Florida Gators live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BUCK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BUCK22/59 | FLA34/62 |
| 3-pointers | BUCK7/18 | FLA5/19 |
| Free throws | BUCK9/13 | FLA10/14 |
| Rebounds | BUCK26 | FLA42 |
| Assists | BUCK13 | FLA10 |
| Turnovers | BUCK9 | FLA11 |
| Steals | BUCK8 | FLA7 |
| Blocks | BUCK1 | FLA0 |
| Points in the paint | BUCK24 | FLA46 |
| Fast-break points | BUCK1 | FLA14 |
| Fouls | BUCK15 | FLA14 |
| Largest lead | BUCK0 | FLA29 |
Bucknell Bison vs Florida Gators team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BUCK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BUCK60 | FLA83 |
| Average win probability | BUCK3% | FLA97% |
| Longest scoring run | BUCK+9 | FLA+14 |
| Time leading | BUCK0:00 | FLA37:29 |
Bucknell Bison vs Florida Gators odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET
Bison15%
Win chanceGators85%
SpreadFLA −14.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+554away / −554homeaway / home
Line movementFLA win chance, 17 stored lines
+22 pts for FLA between Oct 29 and Nov 2
94%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | FLA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 85% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 89% | +26 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- FLA 1585 · BUCK 1417
- Home spread
- −14.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Bucknell Bison 60, Florida Gators 83. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BisonGators
Neutrals only–
BisonGators
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Gators–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bucknell Bison vs Florida Gators prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gators a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Gators 1593 (79th of 356), Bison 1408 (267th). The Gators are 1-0; the Bison are 0-1. The Gators have won 3 of their last 5; the Bison 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Bucknell Bison
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Gators | L 60–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colgate Raiders | L 47–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | L 43–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W 57–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Holy Cross Crusaders | L 41–63 | – | – | matchup |
Florida Gators
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Bucknell Bison | W 83–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 64–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | W 86–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L 58–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ole Miss Rebels | W 74–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Bucknell Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Florida Gators: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bison0-1 7th · L1
- Bison rating1408 267th of 356, 1 games
- Gators1-0 4th · W1
- Gators rating1593 79th of 356, 1 games
Bucknell Bison 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
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Florida Gators 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
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