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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Yuengling Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Binghamton Bearcats vs South Florida Bulls prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Binghamton Bearcats or South Florida Bulls: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 18–82Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: USF 82%
Record 0-1
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Binghamton Bearcats at South Florida Bulls win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Binghamton Bearcats vs South Florida Bulls live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Binghamton Bearcats vs South Florida Bulls team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBINGUSF
ScoreBING–USF–
Average win probabilityBING–USF–
Longest scoring runBING–USF–
Time leadingBING–USF–

Binghamton Bearcats vs South Florida Bulls odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Bearcats18%
Win chance
Bulls82%
SpreadUSF −13
Total128.5
Moneyline+454away / −454homeaway / home
Line movementUSF win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
87%76%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: USF 82%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: USF 82%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredUSF winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET82%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET82%—
Ratings
USF 1608 · BING 1471
Home spread
−13
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearcatsBulls
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulls–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Binghamton Bearcats vs South Florida Bulls prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulls a 13-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 128.5. Ratings: Bulls 1608 (68th of 356), Bearcats 1471 (206th). The Bulls are 1-0; the Bearcats are 0-1. The Bulls have won 4 of their last 5; the Bearcats 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Binghamton Bearcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Monmouth HawksL 40–63––matchup
at La Salle ExplorersL 61–70––matchup
at Maine Black BearsL 56–60––matchup
vs Bryant BulldogsW 45–44––matchup
at Maine Black BearsL 67–74––matchup

South Florida Bulls

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Furman PaladinsW 80–54––matchup
vs UTSA RoadrunnersL 51–62––matchup
at Tulane Green WaveW 58–49––matchup
vs Temple OwlsW 82–36––matchup
at North Texas Mean GreenW 66–63––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Binghamton Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Florida Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bearcats0-1 9th · L1
  • Bearcats rating1471 206th of 356, 1 games
  • Bulls1-0 5th · W1
  • Bulls rating1608 68th of 356, 1 games

Binghamton Bearcats 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BINGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BINGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BINGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BINGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Binghamton Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bearcats roster, schedule and more

South Florida Bulls 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Florida Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulls roster, schedule and more

Takes on Binghamton Bearcats at South Florida Bulls

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Model: South Florida 82% to win. Projected score South Florida 71, Binghamton 58; spread South Florida −13, total 128.5. Binghamton Bearcats at South Florida Bulls, Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET.