Furman Paladins vs South Florida Bulls: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreFurman 54, South Florida 80 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSouth Florida 81%
- Pregame Projected scoreSouth Florida 71, Furman 59
- Model spreadSouth Florida −12.5 total 130.5
- Margin26 projected 12.4
- Total134 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Furman Paladins or South Florida Bulls: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUR | 12 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 54 |
| USF | 27 | 19 | 23 | 11 | 80 |
Furman Paladins at South Florida Bulls win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Furman Paladins vs South Florida Bulls live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | FUR | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | FUR18/54 | USF32/62 |
| 3-pointers | FUR4/18 | USF6/19 |
| Free throws | FUR14/23 | USF10/14 |
| Rebounds | FUR25 | USF48 |
| Assists | FUR8 | USF18 |
| Turnovers | FUR17 | USF21 |
| Steals | FUR11 | USF13 |
| Blocks | FUR5 | USF0 |
| Points in the paint | FUR26 | USF50 |
| Fast-break points | FUR3 | USF18 |
| Fouls | FUR19 | USF21 |
| Largest lead | FUR0 | USF35 |
Furman Paladins vs South Florida Bulls team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | FUR | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | FUR54 | USF80 |
| Average win probability | FUR2% | USF98% |
| Longest scoring run | FUR+8 | USF+9 |
| Time leading | FUR0:00 | USF37:39 |
Furman Paladins vs South Florida Bulls odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 85% | +22 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- USF 1597 · FUR 1468
- Home spread
- −12.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Furman Paladins 54, South Florida Bulls 80. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Furman Paladins vs South Florida Bulls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulls a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bulls 1608 (68th of 356), Paladins 1457 (222nd). The Bulls are 1-0; the Paladins are 0-1. The Bulls have won 4 of their last 5; the Paladins 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Furman Paladins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Florida Bulls | L 54–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chattanooga Mocs | L 65–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mercer Bears | W 66–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wofford Terriers | W 64–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mercer Bears | L 63–80 | – | – | matchup |
South Florida Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Furman Paladins | W 80–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | L 51–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | W 58–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Temple Owls | W 82–36 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Texas Mean Green | W 66–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Furman Paladins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Florida Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Paladins0-1 7th · L1
- Paladins rating1457 222nd of 356, 1 games
- Bulls1-0 5th · W1
- Bulls rating1608 68th of 356, 1 games
Furman Paladins 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $FURWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Furman Paladins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $USFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Florida Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Furman Paladins at South Florida Bulls
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Final: Furman 54, South Florida 80. Bandwagon's model had the South Florida at 81% and projected South Florida 71, Furman 59; spread South Florida −12.5, total 130.5.