Eastern Michigan Eagles trail App State Mountaineers 28-20 with 8:07 left in the 2nd period, an 8-point gap for the Eagles. The model still has Eastern Michigan at 64% for the home side.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · George Gervin GameAbove Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
App State Mountaineers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreApp State 74, Eastern Michigan 62 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerEastern Michigan 64%
- Pregame Projected scoreEastern Michigan 68, App State 62
- Model spreadEastern Michigan −6.5 total 130.5
- Margin12 projected 6.5
- Total136 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
App State Mountaineers or Eastern Michigan Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 36–64Market –
FinalPregame: EMU 64%Baseline: EMU 31.9% (−31.8)Big swing: 22.9 ptsClutch window: 0:34
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 23 | 10 | 25 | 16 | 74 |
| EMU | 12 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 62 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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App State Mountaineers at Eastern Michigan Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−2.5 points for EMU over the last 5:00
Big swing22.9 ptstoward EMU at 17:42 of game time
Clutch window0:34within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineEMU 31.9%game average, −31.8 points from the pregame 63.6%
App State Mountaineers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | APP | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | APP30/63 | EMU22/63 |
| 3-pointers | APP9/20 | EMU6/17 |
| Free throws | APP5/8 | EMU12/13 |
| Rebounds | APP37 | EMU39 |
| Assists | APP14 | EMU10 |
| Turnovers | APP20 | EMU22 |
| Steals | APP14 | EMU10 |
| Blocks | APP2 | EMU3 |
| Points in the paint | APP38 | EMU28 |
| Fast-break points | APP22 | EMU6 |
| Fouls | APP19 | EMU13 |
| Largest lead | APP14 | EMU5 |
App State Mountaineers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | APP | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | APP74 | EMU62 |
| Average win probability | APP68% | EMU32% |
| Longest scoring run | APP+11 | EMU+8 |
| Time leading | APP29:28 | EMU4:17 |
App State Mountaineers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET
Mountaineers36%
Win chanceEagles64%
SpreadEMU −6.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+175away / −175homeaway / home
Line movementEMU win chance, 17 stored lines
+1 pts for EMU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
70%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | EMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 64% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- EMU 1430 · APP 1422
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: App State Mountaineers 74, Eastern Michigan Eagles 62. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
App State Mountaineers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Eagles 1405 (274th of 356), Mountaineers 1447 (230th). The Eagles are 0-1; the Mountaineers are 1-0. The Eagles have won 1 of their last 5; the Mountaineers 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
App State Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 74–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 57–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 65–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 48–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 48–74 | – | – | matchup |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs App State Mountaineers | L 62–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | W 77–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio Bobcats | L 54–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | L 61–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 60–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
App State Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Eastern Michigan Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mountaineers1-0 1st · W1
- Mountaineers rating1447 230th of 356, 1 games
- Eagles0-1 8th · L1
- Eagles rating1405 274th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
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No stances yet today on $APPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the App State Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $EMUWBB
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No stances yet today on $EMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Eastern Michigan Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: App State 74, Eastern Michigan 62. Bandwagon's model had the Eastern Michigan at 64% and projected Eastern Michigan 68, App State 62; spread Eastern Michigan −6.5, total 130.5.