Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Oilers at Blues: Bandwagon's model makes the Oilers a 52% favorite (even).
Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Oilers a 52% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Oilers win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 52%.
The largest gap is 1 point: Axle has the Oilers at 52%, Polymarket at 51%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before puck drop. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the Oilers
All NHL ratings| EDM | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1537 9th of 32 | 1498 16th of 32 |
| Record | 13-3-3 | 8-8-2 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 4 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | STL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 48% | — |
Oilers vs Blues odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Oilers at 51%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 52%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | EDM | STL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 51% | 49% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 52% | 48% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Oilers the favorite, with a 52% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 6. Ratings: Blues 1498 (16th of 32), Oilers 1537 (9th). The Blues are 8-8-2 in the Central Division; the Oilers are 13-3-3 in the Pacific Division. The Blues have won 2 of their last 5; the Oilers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blues won 2, the Oilers 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Edmonton Oilers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New York Rangers | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Jersey Devils | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Rangers | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup |
St. Louis Blues
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Red Wings | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Jersey Devils | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Rangers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers | 0–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers | 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Edmonton Oilers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
St. Louis Blues: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Oilers13-3-3 Pacific Division, 1st · W2
- Oilers rating1537 9th of 32, 19 games
- Blues8-8-2 Central Division, 7th · W1
- Blues rating1498 16th of 32, 17 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Edmonton Oilers 13-3-3
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $OILERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Edmonton Oilers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
St. Louis Blues 8-8-2
National Hockey League · Central Division · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BLUES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis Blues bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues
Sign in to post a take on $OILERSBLUES261123: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.