Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: final score and how the prediction did, October 5, 2026
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Philadelphia Flyers or Tampa Bay Lightning: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PHI | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PHI1 | TB4 |
| Average win probability | PHI– | TB– |
| Longest scoring run | PHI– | TB– |
| Time leading | PHI– | TB– |
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction
Ratings: Lightning 1555 (4th of 32), Flyers 1471 (25th). The Lightning are 9-3-2 in the Atlantic Division; the Flyers are 4-9-4 in the Metropolitan Division. The Lightning have won 2 of their last 5; the Flyers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lightning won 4, the Flyers 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Philadelphia Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 6–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbus Blue Jackets | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Red Wings | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Winnipeg Jets | W 6–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Mammoth | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Avalanche | L 3–6 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers | 5–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers | 7–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning | 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning | 2–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Philadelphia Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tampa Bay Lightning: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Flyers4-9-4 Metropolitan Division, 8th · L1
- Flyers rating1471 25th of 32, 17 games
- Lightning9-3-2 Atlantic Division, 3rd · W1
- Lightning rating1555 4th of 32, 14 games
Philadelphia Flyers 4-9-4
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $FLYERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Tampa Bay Lightning 9-3-2
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $LIGHTNING: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tampa Bay Lightning bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning
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