Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Canadiens at Hurricanes: Bandwagon's model makes the Hurricanes a 63% favorite (Hurricanes −1).
Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Hurricanes a 63% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Hurricanes win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 63%.
The largest gap is 5 points: Polymarket has the Hurricanes at 68%, Axle at 63%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before puck drop. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the Hurricanes
All NHL ratings| MTL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1548 5th of 32 | 1609 1st of 32 |
| Record | 11-3-4 | 14-3-2 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 5 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | CAR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:58 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:47 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:42 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:52 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:32 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:40 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | — |
Canadiens vs Hurricanes odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Hurricanes at 68%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 63%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | MTL | CAR | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 32% | 68% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 37% | 63% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hurricanes a 1-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Hurricanes 1609 (1st of 32), Canadiens 1548 (5th). The Hurricanes are 14-3-2 in the Metropolitan Division; the Canadiens are 11-3-4 in the Atlantic Division. The Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5; the Canadiens 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Hurricanes won 5, the Canadiens 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Montreal Canadiens
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Mammoth | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Winnipeg Jets | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pittsburgh Penguins | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Blackhawks | W 9–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Islanders | W 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Winnipeg Jets | W 7–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbus Blue Jackets | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens | 6–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes | 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens | 4–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes | 6–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Montreal Canadiens: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Carolina Hurricanes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Canadiens11-3-4 Atlantic Division, 2nd · L1
- Canadiens rating1548 5th of 32, 17 games
- Hurricanes14-3-2 Metropolitan Division, 1st · W2
- Hurricanes rating1609 1st of 32, 19 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Montreal Canadiens 11-3-4
National Hockey League · Atlantic Division · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CANADIENS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Montreal Canadiens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Carolina Hurricanes 14-3-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $HURRICANES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Carolina Hurricanes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes
Sign in to post a take on $CANADIENSHURRICANE261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Hurricanes 63% to win. Projected score Hurricanes 3.6, Canadiens 2.9; spread Hurricanes −1, total 6.5. Polymarket 68% for the Hurricanes. Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.