Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerSeahawks 82%
- Projected scoreSeahawks 29, Cardinals 17
- Model spreadSeahawks −11.5 total 46.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Arizona Cardinals or Seattle Seahawks: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market 22–78
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ARI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ARI– | SEA– |
| Average win probability | ARI– | SEA– |
| Longest scoring run | ARI– | SEA– |
| Time leading | ARI– | SEA– |
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −4 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:41 PM ET | 86% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 7:36 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:56 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET | 85% | −2 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 87% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 90% | — |
- Ratings
- SEA 1628 · ARI 1389
- Home spread
- −11.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cardinals vs Seahawks odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi prices the Seahawks at 78%, Polymarket at 78%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 82%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | ARI | SEA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 22% | 78% | ||
| Polymarket | 22% | 78% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 18% | 82% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Seahawks a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 46.5. Ratings: Seahawks 1628 (3rd of 32), Cardinals 1389 (29th). The Seahawks are 4-4 in the NFC West; the Cardinals are 3-5 in the NFC West. The Seahawks have won 2 of their last 5; the Cardinals 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Seahawks won 6, the Cardinals 0. The roster source lists 6 Seahawks and 15 Cardinals players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Arizona Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Dallas Cowboys | W 33–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Broncos | L 16–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Rams | W 18–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Lions | L 21–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Giants | L 24–36 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Seahawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Bears | L 17–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas City Chiefs | W 20–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Denver Broncos | L 14–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Francisco 49ers | L 29–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 30–23 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals | 31–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks | 22–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals | 23–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals | 30–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks | 6–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals | 21–20 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Arizona Cardinals: Jeremiyah Love RB, James Conner RB, Kendrick Bourne WR, Trey Benson RB, Will Johnson CB, Hunter Long TE, Xavier Weaver WR, Tip Reiman TE, Zachary Carter DT, Isaiah Adams G, Chase Bisontis G, Joey Blount S, Paris Johnson Jr. OT, Josh Minkins S, Kaleb Proctor DT
Seattle Seahawks: Jake Bobo WR, Elijah Arroyo TE, Robbie Ouzts FB, Bud Clark S, Julian Neal CB, Mason Richman G
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinals3-5 NFC West, 4th · W1
- Cardinals rating1389 29th of 32, 8 games
- Seahawks4-4 NFC West, 2nd · L1
- Seahawks rating1628 3rd of 32, 8 games
National Football League · NFC West · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CARDINALS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Seahawks 4-4
National Football League · NFC West · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SEAHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Seahawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
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Model: Seahawks 82% to win. Projected score Seahawks 29, Cardinals 17; spread Seahawks −11.5, total 46.5. Kalshi 78%, Polymarket 78% for the Seahawks. Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET.