Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays: final score and how the prediction did, October 28, 2026
- Final scoreBrewers 4, Rays 1 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBrewers 53%
- Pregame Projected scoreBrewers 4.3, Rays 3.8
- Model spreadBrewers −0.5 total 8
- Margin3 projected 0.5
- Total5 projected 8
Bandwagon Axle 1.0 · Updated
Milwaukee Brewers or Tampa Bay Rays: the bandwagon
Axle 53–47Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MIL | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Hits | MIL8 | TB4 |
| Home runs | MIL0 | TB0 |
| Walks | MIL1 | TB1 |
| Strikeouts (batting) | MIL10 | TB6 |
| Left on base | MIL10 | TB9 |
| Errors | MIL2 | TB0 |
| Pitches thrown | MIL135 | TB120 |
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MIL | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIL4 | TB1 |
| Average win probability | MIL78% | TB22% |
| Longest scoring run | MIL+4 | TB+1 |
| Time leading | MIL7.6 inn | TB0.0 inn |
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 47% | — |
- Ratings
- TB 1557 · MIL 1614
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET · 2026-10-29 02:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 1.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Milwaukee Brewers 4, Tampa Bay Rays 1. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
The inputs behind this line were not recorded (it was stored before model 2.0). Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Brewers a 0.5-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win. The model total is 8. Ratings: Rays 1554 (4th of 30), Brewers 1618 (1st). The Rays are 98-64 in the American League East; the Brewers are 103-59 in the National League Central. The Rays have won 1 of their last 5; the Brewers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rays won 1, the Brewers 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tampa Bay Rays | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Rays | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Rays | W 10–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Rays | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Rays | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee Brewers | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Milwaukee Brewers | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Milwaukee Brewers | L 1–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Brewers | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Brewers | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 10–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 2–8 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 2–6 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tampa Bay Rays: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Brewers103-59 National League Central, 5th · W5
- Brewers rating1618 1st of 30, 175 games
- Rays98-64 American League East, 5th · L1
- Rays rating1554 4th of 30, 176 games
Milwaukee Brewers 103-59
Major League Baseball · National League Central · 5th · streak W5
No stances yet today on $BREWERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Milwaukee Brewers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Tampa Bay Rays 98-64
Major League Baseball · American League East · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $RAYS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tampa Bay Rays bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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