Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction, odds and picks, November 26, 2026
Tulsa at UTSA: Bandwagon's model makes UTSA an 80% favorite (UTSA −13.5).
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs UTSA Roadrunners odds and win probability
Axle gives UTSA a 80% chance to win, by about 14 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UTSA
All CFB ratings| TLSA | UTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1444 86th of 138 | 1587 37th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UTSA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 80% | — |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Roadrunners a 13.5-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 57.5. Ratings: Roadrunners 1587 (37th of 138), Golden Hurricane 1444 (86th). The Roadrunners have won 4 of their last 5; the Golden Hurricane 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Roadrunners won 0, the Golden Hurricane 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulane Green Wave | W 60–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | L 35–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rice Owls | W 38–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | L 26–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Texas Mean Green | L 44–45 | – | – | matchup |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Atlantic Owls | L 29–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | W 42–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | W 38–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Florida Bulls | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rice Owls | W 16–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA Roadrunners at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 45–46 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UTSA Roadrunners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Hurricane– 9th · W1
- Golden Hurricane rating1444 86th of 138, 8 games
- Roadrunners– 3rd · L1
- Roadrunners rating1587 37th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TLSA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTSA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UTSA Roadrunners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tulsa Golden Hurricane at UTSA Roadrunners
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UTSA 80% to win. Projected score UTSA 36, Tulsa 22; spread UTSA −13.5, total 57.5. Tulsa Golden Hurricane at UTSA Roadrunners, Fri, Nov 27, 12:00 AM ET.