Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Tennessee at Vanderbilt: Bandwagon's model makes Tennessee a 72% favorite (Tennessee −9).
Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores odds and win probability
Axle gives Tennessee a 72% chance to win, by about 9 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Tennessee
All CFB ratings| TENN | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1693 15th of 138 | 1508 63rd of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | VAN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 28% | — |
Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Volunteers a 9-point favorite, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 51. Ratings: Commodores 1508 (63rd of 138), Volunteers 1693 (15th). The Commodores have won 1 of their last 5; the Volunteers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Commodores won 1, the Volunteers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Tennessee Volunteers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | W 34–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | W 26–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas Razorbacks | W 24–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Auburn Tigers | W 24–14 | – | – | matchup |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Mississippi State Bulldogs | W 25–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 17–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas Razorbacks | L 21–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ole Miss Rebels | L 17–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Bulldogs | L 14–38 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers | 45–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Commodores | 36–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Volunteers | 24–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Commodores | 56–0 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tennessee Volunteers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Vanderbilt Commodores: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Volunteers– 5th · W1
- Volunteers rating1693 15th of 138, 8 games
- Commodores– 15th · W1
- Commodores rating1508 63rd of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TENN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Volunteers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 15th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $VAN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vanderbilt Commodores bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Commodores
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Tennessee 72% to win. Projected score Tennessee 30, Vanderbilt 21; spread Tennessee −9, total 51. Tennessee Volunteers at Vanderbilt Commodores, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.