SMU Mustangs vs Missouri State Bears: final score and how the prediction did, September 13, 2025
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
SMU Mustangs or Missouri State Bears: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
SMU Mustangs at Missouri State Bears win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
SMU Mustangs vs Missouri State Bears live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
SMU Mustangs vs Missouri State Bears team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | SMU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SMU28 | MOST10 |
| Average win probability | SMU– | MOST– |
| Longest scoring run | SMU– | MOST– |
| Time leading | SMU– | MOST– |
SMU Mustangs vs Missouri State Bears odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
SMU Mustangs vs Missouri State Bears prediction
Ratings: Bears 1362 (116th of 138), Mustangs 1643 (23rd). The Bears have won 2 of their last 5; the Mustangs 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bears won 0, the Mustangs 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
SMU Mustangs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Syracuse Orange | L 27–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Golden Bears | W 59–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 23–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston College Eagles | W 25–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Bears | W 34–24 | – | – | matchup |
Missouri State Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 24–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Delaware Blue Hens | L 38–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | W 24–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L 13–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SMU Mustangs | L 24–34 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears at SMU Mustangs | 24–34 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
SMU Mustangs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Missouri State Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mustangs– 3rd · L1
- Mustangs rating1643 23rd of 138, 7 games
- Bears– 7th · W1
- Bears rating1362 116th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SMU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SMU Mustangs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MOST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on SMU Mustangs at Missouri State Bears
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