Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs: final score and how the prediction did, September 26, 2026
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Missouri State Bears or SMU Mustangs: the bandwagon
Axle no line yetMarket –
Missouri State Bears at SMU Mustangs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MOST | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MOST24 | SMU34 |
| Average win probability | MOST– | SMU– |
| Longest scoring run | MOST– | SMU– |
| Time leading | MOST– | SMU– |
Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs prediction
Ratings: Mustangs 1643 (23rd of 138), Bears 1362 (116th). The Mustangs have won 4 of their last 5; the Bears 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Mustangs won 1, the Bears 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Missouri State Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 24–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Delaware Blue Hens | L 38–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | W 24–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L 13–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SMU Mustangs | L 24–34 | – | – | matchup |
SMU Mustangs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Syracuse Orange | L 27–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Golden Bears | W 59–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 23–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston College Eagles | W 25–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Bears | W 34–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs at Missouri State Bears | 28–10 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Missouri State Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
SMU Mustangs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears– 7th · W1
- Bears rating1362 116th of 138, 7 games
- Mustangs– 3rd · L1
- Mustangs rating1643 23rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MOST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SMU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SMU Mustangs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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