LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
LSU at Arkansas: Bandwagon's model makes LSU a 78% favorite (LSU −12).
LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks odds and win probability
Axle gives LSU a 78% chance to win, by about 12 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has LSU
All CFB ratings| LSU | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1646 24th of 138 | 1416 96th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 4 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ARK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 22% | — |
LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 12-point favorite, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 51. Ratings: Razorbacks 1416 (96th of 138), Tigers 1646 (24th). The Razorbacks have won 1 of their last 5; the Tigers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Razorbacks won 0, the Tigers 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
LSU Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | L 13–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | W 38–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | W 31–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 34–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas A&M Aggies | W 35–6 | – | – | matchup |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Auburn Tigers | L 23–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri Tigers | L 10–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vanderbilt Commodores | W 31–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | L 17–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M Aggies | L 7–34 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers | 22–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks | 34–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers | 31–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks | 13–10 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
LSU Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arkansas Razorbacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers– 8th · L1
- Tigers rating1646 24th of 138, 8 games
- Razorbacks– 16th · L2
- Razorbacks rating1416 96th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $LSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LSU Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 16th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $ARK: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas Razorbacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.