WCBBINST–HALL11:30 AMWCBBNWST–ARK11:30 AMWCBBDRKE–KU12:00 PMWCBBPFW–DEP12:00 PMWCBBRGV–SDAK12:00 PMWCBBDREX–PENN1:00 PMWCBBSUU–NMSU1:00 PMBundesligaBMG–HSV2:30 PMLigue 1STR–TOU2:45 PMSerie AUDI–VEN2:45 PMLa LigaALA–SEV3:00 PMEPLCOV–EVE3:00 PMCBBMASS–BC4:00 PMWCBBUCD–EWU4:00 PMWCBBLMU–USU4:00 PMCBBUAPB–BAY5:00 PMCBBUWF–FIU5:00 PMCBBNE–UVA5:00 PMWCBBNE–BU6:00 PMWCBBPRIN–RICH6:00 PMCBBEWU–ORE6:00 PMWCBBURI–COLU6:00 PMWCBBMORG–OKST6:00 PMWCBBLEH–MONM6:00 PMWCBBNCAT–MRSH6:00 PMWCBBGAST–UNCA6:30 PMWCBBWICH–KC6:30 PMCBBSCST–UPST6:30 PMCBBVAL–PUR6:30 PMCBBYSU–OSU6:30 PMCFBVT–SMU7:00 PMNBAWSH–ATL7:00 PMNBABOS–CHA7:00 PMNHLCBJ–BUF7:00 PMCBBHC–VILL7:00 PMCBBUNCG–ELON7:00 PMCBBCOPP–GMU7:00 PMCBBSLU–MIZ7:00 PMCBBINST–BALL7:00 PMCBBTROY–FSU7:00 PMAll scores
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FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line

Baylor Bears vs SMU Mustangs: final score and how the prediction did, September 6, 2025

Baylor Bears or SMU Mustangs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
4845
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–

Baylor Bears at SMU Mustangs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Baylor Bears vs SMU Mustangs live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Baylor Bears vs SMU Mustangs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBAYSMU
ScoreBAY48SMU45
Average win probabilityBAY–SMU–
Longest scoring runBAY–SMU–
Time leadingBAY–SMU–

Baylor Bears vs SMU Mustangs odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearsMustangs
Neutrals only–
BearsMustangs
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Mustangs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Baylor Bears vs SMU Mustangs prediction

Ratings: Mustangs 1643 (23rd of 138), Bears 1560 (49th). The Mustangs have won 4 of their last 5; the Bears 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Baylor Bears

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UCF KnightsW 41–9––matchup
at Kansas JayhawksL 24–25––matchup
vs TCU Horned FrogsL 6–17––matchup
at Arizona State Sun DevilsW 55–19––matchup
vs Colorado BuffaloesW 23–13––matchup

SMU Mustangs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Syracuse OrangeL 27–30––matchup
vs California Golden BearsW 59–20––matchup
vs Virginia CavaliersW 23–13––matchup
vs Boston College EaglesW 25–16––matchup
vs Missouri State BearsW 34–24––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Baylor Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

SMU Mustangs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bears– 6th · W1
  • Bears rating1560 49th of 138, 7 games
  • Mustangs– 3rd · L1
  • Mustangs rating1643 23rd of 138, 7 games

Baylor Bears

NCAA Division I FBS football · 6th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BAY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BAY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BAY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BAY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Baylor Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bears roster, schedule and more

SMU Mustangs

NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SMU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SMU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SMU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SMU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SMU Mustangs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mustangs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Baylor Bears at SMU Mustangs

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