Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Baylor at Houston: Bandwagon's model makes Houston a 68% favorite (Houston −7.5).
Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars odds and win probability
Axle gives Houston a 68% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Houston
All CFB ratings| BAY | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1583 39th of 138 | 1637 26th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | HOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 68% | — |
Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Cougars 1637 (26th of 138), Bears 1583 (39th). The Cougars have won 4 of their last 5; the Bears 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 2, the Bears 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Baylor Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Iowa State Cyclones | W 42–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCF Knights | W 41–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 24–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | L 6–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | W 55–19 | – | – | matchup |
Houston Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati Bearcats | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | L 13–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | W 35–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas State Wildcats | W 35–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | W 27–17 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Cougars at Baylor Bears | 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Baylor Bears at Houston Cougars | 20–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Cougars at Baylor Bears | 25–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Baylor Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Houston Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears– 6th · W2
- Bears rating1583 39th of 138, 8 games
- Cougars– 4th · W1
- Cougars rating1637 26th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 6th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $BAY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Baylor Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $HOU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Baylor Bears at Houston Cougars
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.