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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Rose Hill Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Stonehill Skyhawks vs Fordham Rams prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Stonehill Skyhawks or Fordham Rams: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 25–75Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: FOR 75%
Record 1-0
––
Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Stonehill Skyhawks at Fordham Rams win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Stonehill Skyhawks vs Fordham Rams live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Stonehill Skyhawks vs Fordham Rams team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSTOFOR
ScoreSTO–FOR–
Average win probabilitySTO–FOR–
Longest scoring runSTO–FOR–
Time leadingSTO–FOR–

Stonehill Skyhawks vs Fordham Rams odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 9:40 PM ET
Skyhawks25%
Win chance
Rams75%
SpreadFOR −8.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+295away / −295homeaway / home
Line movementFOR win chance, 38 stored lines
+10 pts for FOR since Oct 29
84%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: FOR 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: FOR 79%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: FOR 79%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: FOR 79%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: FOR 76%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: FOR 75%Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET: FOR 75%Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET: FOR 75%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredFOR winMove
Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET75%0
Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET75%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET75%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET75%−1
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET76%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET79%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET79%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET79%+14
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
FOR 1480 · STO 1406
Home spread
−8.5
Stored
Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:40 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

SkyhawksRams
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Rams–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Stonehill Skyhawks vs Fordham Rams prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rams 1480 (212th of 361), Skyhawks 1406 (313th). The Rams are 0-1; the Skyhawks are 1-0. The Rams have won 1 of their last 5; the Skyhawks 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rams won 1, the Skyhawks 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Stonehill Skyhawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Mercyhurst LakersL 51–56––matchup
at Le Moyne DolphinsW 81–71––matchup
vs Mercyhurst LakersL 72–75––matchup
vs Le Moyne DolphinsW 77–68––matchup
at New Haven ChargersL 51–64––matchup

Fordham Rams

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Kansas JayhawksL 65–95––matchup
vs George Washington RevolutionariesL 62–66––matchup
vs Rhode Island RamsW 61–49––matchup
at La Salle ExplorersL 84–87––matchup
at VCU RamsL 63–82––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Stonehill Skyhawks at Fordham Rams60–71––matchup

Injuries

Stonehill Skyhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Fordham Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Skyhawks1-0 1st · W1
  • Skyhawks rating1406 313th of 361, 0 games
  • Rams0-1 11th · L1
  • Rams rating1480 212th of 361, 1 games

Stonehill Skyhawks 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $STOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $STOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $STOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $STOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stonehill Skyhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Skyhawks roster, schedule and more

Fordham Rams 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FORMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FORMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FORMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FORMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fordham Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rams roster, schedule and more

Takes on Stonehill Skyhawks at Fordham Rams

Sign in to post a take on $STOMBBFORMBB261106: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Fordham 75% to win. Projected score Fordham 77, Stonehill 69; spread Fordham −8.5, total 145.5. Stonehill Skyhawks at Fordham Rams, Thu, Nov 5, 7:30 PM ET.