Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Bradley Braves prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerBradley 78%
- Projected scoreBradley 77, Purdue Fort Wayne 68
- Model spreadBradley −9.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons or Bradley Braves: the bandwagon
Axle 22–78Market –
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Bradley Braves win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Bradley Braves live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Bradley Braves team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PFW | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PFW– | BRAD– |
| Average win probability | PFW– | BRAD– |
| Longest scoring run | PFW– | BRAD– |
| Time leading | PFW– | BRAD– |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Bradley Braves odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BRAD win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | — |
- Ratings
- BRAD 1558 · PFW 1454
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Bradley Braves prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Braves a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Braves 1558 (81st of 361), Mastodons 1454 (248th). The Braves are 1-0; the Mastodons are 0-1. The Braves have won 2 of their last 5; the Mastodons 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 71–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 56–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 87–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wright State Raiders | L 70–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland State Vikings | W 92–86 | – | – | matchup |
Bradley Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Dayton Flyers | L 66–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Iowa Panthers | L 69–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Valparaiso Beacons | W 90–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Murray State Racers | W 87–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UIC Flames | L 86–93 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Bradley Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mastodons0-1 10th · L1
- Mastodons rating1454 248th of 361, 1 games
- Braves1-0 2nd · W1
- Braves rating1558 81st of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PFWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Bradley Braves 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BRADMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bradley Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Bradley 78% to win. Projected score Bradley 77, Purdue Fort Wayne 68; spread Bradley −9.5, total 145.5. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Bradley Braves, Wed, Nov 18, 8:00 PM ET.